[News] Why Israel Never Intended to Respect the Gaza Ceasefire
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Fri Oct 24 20:35:46 EDT 2025
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Why Israel Never Intended to Respect the Gaza Ceasefire – Analysis
October 24, 2025
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Two Palestinian teenagers were killed by Israeli snipers, in another
violation of the ceasefire agreement. (Photo: via QNN)
*By Robert Inlakesh
<https://www.palestinechronicle.com/writers/robert-inlakesh>*
Despite ceasefire agreements, Israel has no intention to honor
its side of the deal. It is pursuing, in earnest, its goal
following October 7, to ethnically cleanse Gaza and to
‘reshape’ the Middle East through brute force.
Israel has been committing daily violations of the Gaza ceasefire and is
currently hatching a scheme designed to achieve its various goals
through different means. In reality, what has been imposed is not a
cessation of the war, or even a ceasefire; instead, it is a clearly set
agenda that is developing into something more pernicious by the day.
While countless analysts had fallen into the trap of believing that the
“20-point plan” set forth by the US Trump administration and the
subsequent imposition of a “ceasefire” were actually designed with the
intention of ending the conflict in Gaza, we are already seeing this
notion fall apart, piece by piece.
*Understanding Israel’s Thinking*
The issue here, in the mainstream discourse on Gaza and which also
injects itself into the alternative media’s framing, is a fundamental
misunderstanding of the nature of what is happening in Gaza. To some,
this may seem trivial and elementary yet, if the foundation of one’s
ability to comprehend the issue at hand is flawed, it will manifest
itself in the broader conclusions drawn.
While it is now widely accepted that genocide is what Israel has
inflicted on Gaza, it is important to consider the implications of this
understanding. Genocide, in the case of Gaza, broadly speaking, means
the extermination of the population in part or whole, which immediately
does away with the notion that Israel is simply fighting Hamas. Although
this concept is easily and widely understood, a thorough look at what is
happening is largely absent.
If Israel is committing genocide, which it undoubtedly is, this
conclusion begs a number of questions. The most obvious is: Why?
Some would argue that the Israelis have committed genocide in the Gaza
Strip as an act of revenge, a desire for blood and that this was
motivated by the acts carried out by Palestinian armed factions on
October 7, 2023. Yet, this argument makes little sense.
It not only makes no sense from a post-October 7 perspective, but a
historical one, too. If simply revenge was the motivating factor, this
would completely discount the long history of Israeli persecution of,
and indiscriminate violence visited upon, the Palestinian people. It
also discounts the objectives of Zionism, which is to conquer all of
what is deemed “Eretz Israel”.
In the years leading up to October 7, 2023, the death toll inside the
West Bank was growing to the point that it reached levels not seen since
the Second Intifada in the early 2000s. Israeli fanatical settlers
continuously encroached upon Al-Aqsa Mosque, as Christian sites of
worship also fell victim to State-backed violence and restrictions.
Communities across the West Bank were under the constant threat of
ethnic cleansing, experiencing routine pogroms carried out under the
watchful eye of the Israeli authorities, as the political echelon sought
to impose its de jure annexation over at least Area C (60 percent) of
the territory. Gaza’s population, meanwhile, living in a territory
declared by UN experts to have been unlivable by 2020, was left to rot
in a concentration camp.
Israel has visited various chapters of death and destruction on the Gaza
Strip, whether that be through the inhuman siege over the past two
decades, or the various bombardments that murdered hundreds and, in the
worst cases, thousands, of civilians. This story dates all the way back
to 1948, when the Gaza Strip was created out of the refugee population
ethnically cleansed from their lands, which the Zionists now call
Israel, where they have since experienced every hardship imaginable at
the hands of their Israeli oppressors.
In 2014, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu tried, through a
51-day war of aggression, to find an answer to what Israel has called
its “Gaza question”, but failed to find any kind of military solution.
When, for instance, the Israeli military attempted to go after the Hamas
tunnel infrastructure and engaged directly with the Palestinian
resistance, they suffered heavy casualties and four of their soldiers
were seized as prisoners of war.
Come 2017, Hamas was both put under strain and also birthed a number of
initiatives that sought to achieve political goals through compromise
and non-violence. The movement issued a new Charter that accepted a
long-term ceasefire settlement that would achieve a “Two-State”
solution, additionally condemning anti-Semitism, amongst other things.
Hamas also began the process that year of signing a unity deal with the
Palestinian Authority (PA), whereby the Ramallah-based authority was set
to take over the governance of Gaza. To this effect, PA forces even
began to be deployed to the Rafah border, amidst broad celebrations
across the Gaza Strip. Yet, the US and Israel applied pressure that
collapsed the agreement.
Later that year, the PA began reducing and slashing the salaries of its
employees in Gaza, placing even greater strain on Hamas, eventually
leading to Israel setting up its controversial Qatari aid delivery
system, used to stop the situation from boiling over into a larger-scale
conflict or tit-for-tat that would cause issues, particularly for the
surrounding Israeli settlements.
In 2018, Hamas even threw its weight behind the Great March of Return.
Many do not know this, but while Hamas used to respond to Israel’s
routine airstrikes across Gaza, up until November 11, when Israel
attempted and failed to kidnap a senior Hamas commander in Gaza, the
movement did not even fire rockets in retaliation to Israeli aggression.
Ultimately, the doctrine of non-violence resulted in the murder of
hundreds of civilians and a health system crisis where tens of thousands
suffered injuries. The Western mainstream media lied for Israel,
claiming that the protests were riots and that Israel was defending its
“border”, neither of which was true.
Time and time again, Hamas had tried to find a solution to Gaza’s
unlivable predicament, yet the Israelis were set on leaving the
territory there as an unfixable problem, which could be contained
through periodic massacres and assassinations of leaders, something that
had been happening for decades, beyond just the major wars in 2008-9,
2012, 2014, and 2021.
Instead, the Israelis were chasing the expansion of the “Abraham
Accords” to include Saudi Arabia and others, killing what was known as
the “Arab Peace Initiative”, a plan set forth by Riyadh that set a
Palestinian State based upon the 1967 borders as a pre-requisite for
normalization.
By October 7, 2023, Israel was pushing forward with its West Bank
annexation efforts, had been expanding its ethnic cleansing of East
Jerusalem and had sidelined Gaza. When Hamas launched operation Al-Aqsa
Flood, it collapsed Israel’s southern command, dealt the strongest
military blow Israel had ever experienced and shook up the entire
surrounding region also.
The Israelis saw it very clearly that two things had just occurred,
leading to polar opposite paths. Israel now had its “re-birth” or
disintegration moment to deal with. Exactly what Israel’s senior
leadership asserted about their intentions for Gaza is precisely what
they began pursuing, and still are, after two years.
In their eyes, the whole game changed. It was time to accelerate their
plans that were designed to play out over a decade; now had come their
opportunity to “solve the Gaza question” and “reshape the Middle East”
through brute force.
This is why Israel has spent so much time demolishing Gaza as part of
its genocide. Still, today, its military, along with private Israeli
civilian contractors who are paid danger money for their work, are
demolishing the remaining Palestinian civilian infrastructure that
remains behind what Israel calls the “Yellow Line” (54-58 percent of Gaza).
Logically, if the Israelis have just committed genocide and are
currently continuing to not only murder civilians daily, but demolish
the remaining buildings in the Gaza Strip, does it make any sense that
they have accepted an end to the conflict? Such a conclusion would be
somewhat delusional.
What Israel is doing is sticking to its war goals, which it sought to
achieve on October 7, 2023. Although some are able to see this clearly,
they make another key mistake in their understanding of the current
predicament, that is, that this plan is localized to Palestine, or even
just Gaza.
This was the same mistake that many regional players, as part of the
Iranian-led Axis of Resistance, made. Only upon the assassination of
Hezbollah leader, Seyyed Hassan Nasrallah, did this element of Israel’s
overarching scheme fully sink in, as many were misled to believe that
Gaza was the only true target.
In the eyes of the Israelis, if the people of Gaza are still there, then
eventually resistance will return, and the issue will go back to the
start, once again. Logically, this also makes sense, given what the
Israelis have done to the people there, the desire for revenge and
resistance will only have grown, even if all the armed groups there are
disarmed and the next wave of resistance takes decades to manifest itself.
Meanwhile, an even bigger threat lurks to the north, where Hezbollah
still very much exists. Although propagandists claim that the group is
over, the Israeli leadership understands this not to be the case.
As many argue that Hezbollah is “done”, consider the following: Hamas
was not even a fraction of the military force that Hezbollah currently
is – even in a weaker state – on October 7, 2023, yet still managed to
collapse Israel’s southern command and its fighters were carrying out
operations across the separation barrier for at least two days after the
initial attack.
If Hezbollah so chose to, it could undoubtedly deliver severe blows
against the Israelis. In fact, if Hezbollah’s fighters were to prove
capable of penetrating the borders and entering the Galilee, such a
military disaster for Israel would represent an undoing of the
objectives it sought to achieve through its genocide in Gaza.
The Gaza genocide was a strategy, one to completely destroy the
territory and inflict a defeat upon the Palestinian national resistance,
through mass slaughter, to demoralize them, and make it impossible for
the people to remain living inside Gaza. It was also a message to the
regional resistance and the Arab world, in general, that if you
challenge Israel militarily, you will suffer the same fate.
The Israelis are not about to sit around and wait for a resistance force
to develop inside Syria, for the Lebanese resistance to strengthen
itself to a degree where it will become a force capable of “deterrence”,
or to allow for Iran to occupy the same counterweight to it regionally
that it did prior to October 7, 2023. “Total victory” is what Benjamin
Netanyahu constantly reiterates as his goal and, even after the
ceasefire was imposed in Gaza, he openly stated that “the war is not over”.
*The Impossible ‘Peace Plan’*
Israel, for years, not only among its leading political parties but its
Jewish population at large, has rejected the notion of even negotiating
for a Palestinian State on a mere 22 percent of historic Palestine. The
only major issue standing in Israel’s way was the Palestinian population
still living there and the regional military alliance that stood for its
cause and encouraged armed struggle.
In January of 2020, US President Donald Trump revealed what he called
his “Deal of the Century” plan. If you look at the details of it, this
aligns not only with previous proposals set forth by Israel’s Likud
Party, that were not taken seriously by the Americans, at that point,
but also with the so-called “Peace Deal” that is being proposed today.
It is to say that a divided series of cantons, or mini-concentration
camps, be set up under a Palestinian Authority-led administration. A
plan under which the Jordan Valley area and other portions of Area C in
the West Bank will be annexed, occupied Jerusalem will be seized
entirely by Israel, and Abu Dis, located East of Jerusalem behind
Israel’s Wall of separation, will be the de facto Palestinian capital.
Trump’s current proposal takes the “Deal of the Century” and strips it
down even further.
While the Europeans and Arab nations propose a Palestinian “State”, with
East Jerusalem as its capital, offering their so-called “New York
Declaration” as a framework, the Trump administration has accepted this
vision with two primary caveats, so far: No actual Palestinian State, no
capital in occupied East Jerusalem.
The New York Declaration initiative, put together by Saudi Arabia and
France, declares that so-called “non-State actors” will be drowned out
of the picture and are to be barred from the political process; in other
words, only their favored candidates from the mainstream branch of Fatah
will be considered valid for elections. This means no democracy.
The Saudi-French vision also states that Palestine must be
demilitarized, making it the only State on earth barred from having an
army. There would be no repercussions for Israel’s genocide, of course;
in fact, they will be rewarded under this vision. Palestine will also be
a State whereby the leadership will have no say over its own education
program, instead adopting a foreign-Israeli re-education program.
As laid out during French President Emmanuel Macron’s United Nations
General Assembly speech, this initiative also demands the disarmament of
Hamas and the introduction of an international force that would enter
Gaza, only under the strict conditions and coordination of the Israelis.
It suffices to say that both proposals, from the US and its allies, are
very similar, except that one seeks to please the corrupt Palestinian
Authority officials who currently partially run the affairs of the West
Bank.
Interestingly enough, the Palestinian Authority (PA) and its unelected
President, Mahmoud Abbas, are only relevant today because of Hamas,
despite their public statements blaming Hamas for almost everything that
has happened since October 7, 2023. If it were not for Hamas, there
would be no recognition of Palestine. No Arab, US, and European money on
the table for the corrupted clique of elites based out of Ramallah, nothing.
While the PA buried the Palestinian cause, hijacked its leadership and
turned it into an international money-grabbing laughing stock amongst
serious political actors, the armed movements it opposes so virulently
are the ones propelling the cause to the world.
Many may ask why the Palestinian national movement is incapable of
seizing this moment, when the world collectively sides with their
struggle; the answer is the corruption of the Palestinian Authority. It
is that simple.
And this does not mean petty corruption, like nepotism or certain
individuals benefiting financially from the system, but rather the
complete selling out of the cause altogether. All major movements,
governments and interim authorities have these sorts of issues to one
extent or another; it is simply because human beings are fallible.
This critique is also starkly different from those historically made
against the Fatah Party, from other members of the PLO and even some
groups that operated outside of it. The PA of today does not hold a
candle to the PLO of old. It is not just an administration with issues,
like those associated with neo-partimonialism, political miscalculations
or signing agreements that were designed to damage the Palestinian
people; it is a corrupt regime that works as the occupiers’
subcontractor. It functions as a house-slave.
Back to the Israelis and the plan. The chances of them adhering to it
are slim to nothing, unless the US were to somehow put its foot down and
force them to, which is highly unlikely, as Washington is giving the
green light to each of their violations, never daring to even challenge
them.
If the Israelis were serious about reconstruction, then why have they
created and continue to employ civilians from the private sector to
demolish Palestinian infrastructure in Gaza every day? If they were
serious about a “technocratic” Palestinian governing force in Gaza, then
why are they continuing to back three major ISIS-linked proxy groups
behind the Yellow Line?
According to Axios News, the US is giving a green light to an Israeli
strategy whereby they will begin using reconstruction funds to build
structures in the areas of Gaza they control. This plan would then offer
civilians to live there under the occupation of the Israelis and their
criminal proxy groups.
Meanwhile, Israel continues to prevent the bare necessities from
entering the Gaza Strip. The so-called ceasefire agreement was supposed
to allow 400 aid trucks to enter per day for the first five days, then
600 plus afterward. Israel even reportedly committed to 600 per day. So
far, around 90 trucks have entered per day on average, as Gaza continues
to suffer severe food shortages across the besieged territory.
If the Israelis cannot even help themselves from slaughtering over 100
civilians, so far, and blocking aid, what chance is there that they will
allow a legitimate political entity to function, let alone permit
reconstruction? They would not even allow the heavy equipment into Gaza
that was needed to quickly and safely extract the bodies of its dead
captives, which are buried under the rubble created by their own bombs.
If we turn back to 2014, the Israelis were also supposed to allow the
reconstruction of Gaza, yet they also banned the entry of the
desperately needed equipment and materials then, too. It took the
ingenuity of the people to overcome this hurdle at the time.
This ceasefire agreement was never created to end the genocide or pave
the way to peace. Prussian military theorist, Carl von Clausewitz, is
often quoted as stating that “war is the continuation of politics by
other means”, which can be applied here.
The Israelis have clear goals of conquering what they view as “Greater
Israel”. As of now, they are pursuing, through political means, their
schemes to de-fang the resistance and will proceed to war, when they
deem necessary. Israel must be defeated by the regional resistance, or
it will keep going until it achieves its “total victory”.
/– Robert Inlakesh is a journalist, writer, and documentary filmmaker.
He focuses on the Middle East, specializing in Palestine. He contributed
this article to The Palestine Chronicle. /
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