[News] Morales' MAS Won October Polls Fairly, Will Win Again Unless Anez Gov't Defrauds Voters
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Fri Mar 13 14:14:20 EDT 2020
https://orinocotribune.com/morales-mas-won-october-polls-fairly-will-win-again-unless-anez-govt-defrauds-voters-journo/
Morales' MAS Won October Polls Fairly, Will Win Again Unless Anez
Gov't Defrauds Voters
March 13, 2020
------------------------------------------------------------------------
*MIT researchers have thrown the Organisation of American States’ (OAS)
audit of Bolivia’s October elections into question. According to La
Resistencia Bolivian journalist Alberto Echazu, the OAS should be held
responsible for the November coup, especially given that the same entity
was invited by the de facto government to monitor the 3 May vote*.
By Ekaterina Blinova
On 27 February, John Curiel and Jack R. Williams from the Massachusetts
Institute of Technology (MIT) published an op-ed in The Washington Post
revealing that the Organisation of American States’ (OAS) statistical
analysis and conclusions about the Bolivian October election’s “fraud”
appear to be “deeply flawed”.
In response, the OAS denounced the report as “neither honest, nor
fact-based nor comprehensive” and stated that it stood by its findings.
Back in October 2019, the OAS’ preliminary audit of the voting in
Bolivia became the trigger for the nation-wide unrest which subsequently
led to the ousting of the country’s President Evo Morales, the
persecution of members of his Movement Towards Socialism (MAS) party and
violence resulting in loss of life.
*OAS Audit’s Flawed, International Researchers Say*
“[The MIT] study is just one in a series of studies by researchers
from around the world that found the OAS report flawed and just an
excuse to back the coup that was already in progress,” says Alberto
Echazu, a political analyst and journalist with La Resistencia
Bolivia. “All of them, including a large number of academics and
intellectuals, have stated that there is no evidence to support the
fraud storyline.”
Indeed, on 22 October 2019 the Washington DC-based Center for Economic
and Policy Research (CEPR) released a statement outlining the flaws in
the OAS audit on the heels of the election drama. The think tank
continued to raise the alarm over the OAS’ data and methods in November
and later commissioned MIT Election Data and Science Lab researchers to
independently verify the numerical and statistical results of CEPR’s
final study.
Apart from this, on 2 December, The Guardian published a letter signed
by 98 economists and researchers who called upon the OAS “to retract its
misleading statements about the election, which have contributed to the
political conflict.”
Among other matters, the statisticians draw attention to the fact that
the OAS released a fallacious press release on 21 October which claimed
that there had been a “drastic and hard-to-explain change in the trend
of the preliminary results.” The entity – that is partially funded by
the US – referred to a pause in the “quick count”: with 84% of the votes
tallied up, Morales led with 7.9% points; after a break, with 95%
ballots counted, his margin mounted over 10%. The researchers elaborate
that this change was “neither ‘drastic’ nor ‘hard to explain'”,
concluding that Morales did win in October.
“For any common person familiar with Bolivia’s history and
territorial configuration, it is general knowledge that the voting
from rural areas comes in significantly later, as they are located
far away from capital cities, and these are the regions where MAS
has almost absolute support,” explains Echazu.”This alone would
negate the idea that there was a change in the trend after the
preliminary count was halted. In that regard, the studies just
confirm technically what common sense and general knowledge would
dictate.”
The journalist reveals that “MAS is going to demand that the OAS answer
for the violations against human rights and assassinations that took
place after its report was published, making the OAS and its General
Secretary, Luis Almagro, responsible for the coup and the establishment
of a de facto government.”
RELATED CONTENT: The Organization of American States Is Eroding Faith in
Democracy
<https://orinocotribune.com/the-organization-of-american-states-is-eroding-faith-in-democracy/>
He notes that the de facto Anez government is trying to discredit and
mute the latest study by MIT by groundlessly claiming that it was
conducted at the request of Morales supporters.
*How La Paz is Disrupting the MAS Campaign*
At the same time, La Paz is continuing to throw sand in the MAS gears
ahead of the 3 May elections, the journalist highlights. In late
February Bolivia’s supreme electoral tribunal disqualified Evo Morales,
who was granted political asylum in Argentina, from running for Senate
because he no longer met residency requirements.
Speaking to Reuters in early March, the former Bolivian president
lambasted La Paz and their alleged US backers for preventing him from
running for the presidency and Senate. Having said that he has no doubts
that MAS would come out on top again, he voiced serious concerns about
the forthcoming 3 May vote arranged by the country’s political right
with OAS and USAID assistance, presuming that it could be fraudulent or
followed by a coup.
These are Bolivian MAS supporters, arriving for a rally in Chuquisaca.
Demographically (class, ethnicity, culture), this march is the exact
opposite of the protests against Evo before the coup.
pic.twitter.com/PDRLBWtQii <https://t.co/PDRLBWtQii>
— Ollie Vargas (@OVargas52) March 9, 2020
<https://twitter.com/OVargas52/status/1237012021608136706?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw>
Echazu outlines a series of measures taken by the de facto government
which were aimed at disrupting the left-leaning party’s campaign.
“First, there is an attempt to proscribe MAS’ candidates”, he says. “The
de facto government has already started a campaign to find a cause, any
one would do, to nullify Luis Arce’s presidential candidacy. There is no
case against him, so it will take an illegal action to keep him off the
ballot.”
Arce remains by far the strongest candidate in the presidential race,
according to the recent polls, with the facto interim president Jeanine
Anez and Carlos Mesa tied in second place.
“The de facto regime is very well aware of Arce’s strength, so an action
to challenge his candidacy, probably in the final days of the electoral
campaign, is to be expected,” the journalist warns.
Bolivia's MAS presidential candidate, Luis Arce and VP candidate,
David Choquehuanca, given a hero's welcome in the rural town of
Culpina, Chuquisaca.
The urban area of this region (Sucre) is a hotbed of racism and
discrimination. But the rural workers here back the MAS.
pic.twitter.com/YqPz7TTIrI <https://t.co/YqPz7TTIrI>
— Ollie Vargas (@OVargas52) March 6, 2020
<https://twitter.com/OVargas52/status/1235986596719140874?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw>
*Second*, there is a media blockade imposed by La Paz, according to Echazu:
RELATED CONTENT: Bolivia’s Añez in Her Labyrinth
<https://orinocotribune.com/bolivias-anez-in-her-labyrinth/>
No MAS demonstrations and rallies are being covered by the
government-controlled media.
· Information about the November could is silenced.
· Studies demonstrating the absence of fraud in the last election by
researchers and institutions are suppressed.
· Condemnations of human rights violations in Bolivia by the de facto
government issued by international institutions are censored.
· Little if any news emerge in the media about Morales and
demonstrations in his favour have been held around the world during his
exile in Argentina, according to the journalist.
“This, of course, affects the [MAS] campaign, as the regime is
trying to show a peaceful country, where everything is fine and the
only people that oppose the ‘transitional government’ are the
delinquent fanatics who are MAS supporters,” he emphasises.
*Third*, the de facto government demonstrates its intent to prevent MAS
from mobilising and holding demonstrations ahead of the elections, the
journalist points out.
“It is the case of the tropics area of Cochabamba, where the federations
of coca leaf producers are located, a symbolic stronghold of MAS,” he
explains. “The de facto government has threatened them with calling off
the election in that region if they march into the capital city of
Cochabamba, this is, not allowing them to vote.”
*Finally*, [there are] attacks and persecution against alternative
media, including La Resistencia Bolivia, Echazu highlights.
Bolivian press worker Rene Esteban Guarachi denounces his arrest and
beating by Añez regime forces in El Alto, for his crime of covering
police repression on Thursday in Senkata. (1 of 3)
pic.twitter.com/ESz3Vj4kfn <https://t.co/ESz3Vj4kfn>
— Camila (@camilateleSUR) March 8, 2020
<https://twitter.com/camilateleSUR/status/1236737493099307010?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw>
“[The government says] we are seditious and cyber-terrorists, so we can
expect to be put in jail at any given moment if we maintain our
anti-government editorial line and with our coverage of the repression,
as it is happening while I am writing these words, the repression
against citizens of El Alto has a new chapter and a journalist that was
at the scene was arrested,” he emphasises.
/Featured image: © AFP 2020 / ALEJANDRO PAGNI/
Source URL: Sputnik
<https://sputniknews.com/analysis/202003101078524806-morales-mas-won-october-polls-fairly-will-win-again-unless-anez-govt-defrauds-voters--journo>
Edited by OT/EF
<https://orinocotribune.com/author/orinocotribune/>
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