[News] A Formal Funeral for the Two-State Solution
Anti-Imperialist News
news at freedomarchives.org
Mon Sep 19 17:06:02 EDT 2011
Two articles follow
A Formal Funeral for the Two-State Solution
How the PA's Statehood Bid Sidelines Palestinians
Ali Abunimah
http://www.foreignaffairs.com/print/68193?page=show
ALI ABUNIMAH is the author of One Country: A Bold
Proposal to End the Israeli-Palestinian Impasse.
He co-founded the
<http://electronicintifada.net>Electronic
Intifada [1] and is a policy adviser to
Al-Shabaka, the Palestinian Policy Network.
The Palestinian Authority's bid to the United
Nations for Palestinian statehood is, at least in
theory, supposed to circumvent the failed peace
process. But in two crucial respects, the
ill-conceived gambit actually makes things worse,
amplifying the flaws of the process it seeks to
replace. First, it excludes the Palestinian
people from the decision-making process. And
second, it entirely disconnects the discourse about statehood from reality.
Most discussions of the UN bid pit Israel and the
United States on one side, fiercely opposing it,
and Palestinian officials and allied governments
on the other. But this simplistic portrayal
ignores the fact that among the Palestinian
people themselves there is precious little
support for the effort. The opposition, and there
is a great deal of it, stems from three main
sources: the vague bid could lead to unintended
consequences; pursuing statehood above all else
endangers equality and refugee rights; and there
is no democratic mandate for the Palestinian
Authority to act on behalf of Palestinians or to
gamble with their rights and future.
Underscoring the lack of public support, numerous
Palestinian civil society organizations and
grassroots leaders, academics, and activists have
been loudly criticizing the strategy. The
<http://www.bdsmovement.net/2011/bnc-reiterates-its-position-on-september-7794>Boycott
National Committee (BNC) [2] -- the steering
group of the global Palestinian-led campaign for
boycott, divestment, and sanctions against Israel
that has been endorsed by almost 200 Palestinian
organizations -- warned in August that the UN bid
could end up sidelining the PLO as the official
representative of all Palestinians and in turn
disenfranchise Palestinians inside Israel and the
refugees in the diaspora. A widely disseminated
legal opinion by the Oxford scholar Guy
Goodwin-Gill underscored the point, arguing that
the PLO could be displaced from the UN by a
toothless and illusory "State of Palestine" that
would, at most,
<http://english.aljazeera.net/indepth/opinion/2011/08/2011825222044579764.html>nominally
represent only Palestinians in the West Bank and Gaza Strip [3].
Others, such as the Palestinian Youth Movement --
<http://pal-youth.org/>an international coalition
of young Palestinians [4] -- declared that it
stood "steadfastly against" the UN bid because it
could jeopardize "the rights and aspirations of
over two-thirds of the Palestinian people who
live as refugees in countries of refuge and in
exile, to return to their original homes." Many,
like the PYM, fear that unilaterally declaring a
state along 1967 borders without any other
guarantees of Palestinian rights would
effectively cede the 78 percent of historic
Palestine captured in 1948 to Israel and would
keep refugees from returning to what would then
be recognized de facto as an ethnically "Jewish state."
Of course, there may be no clearer evidence of
the distance between the UN bid and the actual
will of the Palestinians than the secrecy of the
process. Today, just days before the application
is filed with the UN, the Palestinian public
remains in the dark about exactly what the PA is
proposing. No draft text has been shared with the
Palestinian people. Instead the text is being
negotiated with the Palestinian Authority's
donors as if they, not the Palestinian people, are its true constituency.
More fundamentally, though, the entire discussion
of statehood ignores the facts on the ground. For
starters, the PA fails the traditional criteria
for statehood laid out in the 1933 Montevideo
Convention on the Rights and Duties of States: it
controls neither territory nor external borders
(except for the tiny enclaves it polices under
the supervision of Israeli occupation forces). It
is prohibited under the 1993 Oslo Accords from
freely entering into relations with other states.
As for possessing a permanent population, the
majority of the Palestinian people are prohibited
by Israel from entering the area on which the PA
purports to claim statehood solely because they
are not Jews (under Israel's discriminatory Law
of Return, Jews from anywhere in the world can
settle virtually anywhere in Israel or the
occupied territories, while native-born
Palestinian refugees and their children are
excluded). The PA cannot issue passports or
identity documents; Israeli authorities control
the population registry. No matter how the UN
votes, Israel will continue to build settlements
in the West Bank and maintain its siege of Gaza.
As all this suggests, any discussion of real sovereignty is a fantasy.
Nor is the strategy likely to produce even formal
UN membership or recognition. That would require
approval by the Security Council, which the Obama
administration has vowed to veto. The alternative
is some sort of symbolic resolution in the UN
General Assembly upgrading the status of the
existing Palestinian UN observer mission -- a
decision with little practical effect. Such an
outcome will hardly be worth all the energy and
fuss, especially when there are other measures
that the UN could take that would have much
greater impact. For example, Palestinians would
be better off asking for strict enforcement of
existing but long ignored Security Council
resolutions, such as
<http://unispal.un.org/UNISPAL.NSF/0/5AA254A1C8F8B1CB852560E50075D7D5>Resolution
465 [5], which was passed in 1980 and calls on
Israel to "dismantle the existing settlements" in
the occupied territories and determines that all
Israel's measures "to change the physical
character, demographic composition, institutional
structure or status of the Palestinian and other
Arab territories occupied since 1967, including
Jerusalem, or any part thereof, have no legal
validity" and are flagrant violations of international law.
Ultimately, any successful strategy should focus
not on statehood but on rights. In its statement
on the UN bid, the BNC emphasized that regardless
of what happens in September, the global
solidarity struggle must continue until Israel
respects Palestinian rights and obeys
international law in three specific ways: ending
the occupation of Arab lands that began in 1967
and dismantling the West Bank wall that was ruled
illegal in 2004
<http://www3.icj-cij.org/docket/files/131/1677.pdf>by
the International Court of Justice [6]; removing
all forms of legal and social discrimination
against Palestinian citizens of Israel and
guaranteeing full equal rights; and offering full
respect for Palestinian refugee rights, including
the right of return. Palestinians and Israelis
are not in a situation of equals negotiating an
end to a dispute but are, respectively, colonized
and colonizer, much as blacks and whites were in
South Africa. This truth must be recognized, and
pushing for such recognition would resonate far
more with the Palestinian public than empty statehood talk.
Indeed, such a strategy has worried Israel enough
that it has enlisted the U.S. in the fight
against what Israeli leaders term
"delegitimization." "Delegitimizers" are
supposedly not seeking justice and full human and
political rights for Palestinians, but rather
seeking the collapse of Israel -- much like East
Germany or apartheid South Africa -- through
political and legal assaults. According to Israel
and groups supporting it in the United States,
virtually all Palestine solidarity activism,
especially BDS, is "delegitimization." Some
Israelis, including even former Prime Minister
Ehud Olmert, have warned that fighting a movement
calling for universal civil and political rights
would only make Israel look more, not less, like
an apartheid state, worsening its situation. But
Israeli elites have come up with no plausible
response to the reality that within a few short
years -- because of Palestinian population growth
and Israeli settlement construction -- a Jewish
minority will be ruling over a disenfranchised
and subordinated Palestinian majority in a country that cannot be partitioned.
The plans for truncated and circumscribed
Palestinian statehood, which successive American
and Israeli governments have been prepared to
discuss, fall far short of minimal Palestinian
demands and have no hope of being implemented (as
the dramatic failure of the Obama
administration's peace effort in its first two
years underscores). Even President Obama, in his
speech to the Israeli lobbying group AIPAC last
May, called the status quo "unsustainable." But he offered no
new answers.
These, then, are the lines along which the battle
for the future of Palestine are going to be
fought, no matter how many U.S. envoys head to
Ramallah and Jerusalem to try to revive
negotiations in which no one believes. Meanwhile,
the UN bid should be seen not as the means to
give birth to the Palestinian state but as the
formal funeral of the two-state solution and the
peace process that was supposed to bring it about.
*****************************
Palestinian analysts continue to debate, oppose PA "statehood" bid
Submitted by Ali Abunimah on Mon, 09/19/2011 - 15:32
http://electronicintifada.net/blog/ali-abunimah/palestinian-analysts-continue-debate-oppose-pa-statehood-bid
The journal Foreign Affairs today published a
piece I wrote titled
<http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/68268/ali-abunimah/a-formal-funeral-for-the-two-state-solution>A
Formal Funeral for the Two-State Solution,
explaining why the Palestinian Authoritys UN statehood bid is so flawed:
The Palestinian Authoritys bid to the United
Nations for Palestinian statehood is, at least in
theory, supposed to circumvent the failed peace
process. But in two crucial respects, the
ill-conceived gambit actually makes things worse,
amplifying the flaws of the process it seeks to
replace. First, it excludes the Palestinian
people from the decision-making process. And
second, it entirely disconnects the discourse about statehood from reality.
This is the latest of a continuing stream of
articles by Palestinians assessing the pros and
cons of the effort. Here are a few other recent
ones that are well worth reading.
Israel wins either way
In
<http://english.aljazeera.net/indepth/opinion/2011/09/20119158427939481.html>States
of recognition, on Al Jazeeras website,
<http://electronicintifada.net/people/joseph-massad>Joseph
Massad argues that no matter how the UN vote goes, Israel will be the winner:
It is important to stress at the outset that
whether the UN grants the Palestinian Authority
(PA) the government of a state under occupation
and observer status as a state or refuses to do
so, either outcome will be in the interest of
Israel. For the only game in town has always been
Israels interests, and it is clear that whatever
strategy garners international support, with or
without US and Israeli approval, must guarantee
Israeli interests a priori. The UN vote is a case in point.
Endangering rights
<http://electronicintifada.net/people/omar-barghouti>Omar
Barghouti, a founder of the Palestinian BDS
campaign, also writing on Al Jazeera, points out
the broad concerns across Palestinian civil
society about the dangers posed by the UN bid to
the representation of Palestinians and the right
of return. Barghouti concludes that the
Palestinian Authority has taken this step without
the people behind it and without attention to fundamental rights:
Ignoring the will of the people and potentially
sacrificing their basic rights in order to secure
some illusory advantages at the negotiations
table hurts Palestinian interests and endangers
the great advances our popular and civil struggle
has achieved to date, particularly as a result of
the global BDS movement. It would in effect
reduce the Arab Spring to a Palestinian autumn.
Going to the UN should be strongly supported by
all Palestinians - and, consequently, by
solidarity groups worldwide - if done by a
trusted, democratically elected, accountable
leadership and if it expressly represents the
will of the Palestinian people and our collective right to self determination.
Alas, neither condition is met in the current
September Initiative, which may end up
replacing the 194 weve always struggled to
implement with a 194 that is little more than
another irresponsible leap away from
accountability and from the inevitable
repercussions of the sweeping Arab Spring.
Who speaks for Palestinians?
How is it that by virtue of being Palestinian I
am told that my sole legitimate representative
is an organization I have never subscribed to, am
not a member of, and have never voted for?
This fundamental question,
<http://al-shabaka.org/september-and-beyond-who-speaks-my-name>posed
by Samah Sabawi writing for Al-Shabaka, about the
PLO, sums up the concerns of millions of
Palestinians not just over the UN bid, but those who are bringing it forward.
While Palestinians fear that the status of the
PLO could be jeopardized by the UN bid, few are
under the illusion that in its current form, the
PLO is anything more than a hollow shell.
Sabawi takes on the difficult but increasingly
urgent task of how to rebuild Palestinian legitimacy:
The tough question that needs to be addressed is
the idea of how legitimacy is achieved. In much
of the debate about the potential disaster of the
UN bid, a great deal of attention has been paid
to democratic elections as the alternative to the current state of affairs.
Though useful as a goal of democratic
representation, are elections really the sole and
only means to build a movement? The new
directions we seek as a people must include ways
to re-establish and sustain the legitimacy of our
representation while pursuing the quest for
self-determination and the fulfillment of our human rights.
Economic aspects
In Jadaliyya,
<http://electronicintifada.net/tags/raja-khalidi>Raja
Khalidi argues that the UN bid could cause severe
economic damage to Palestinians as Israel and its
allies impose financial sanctions in revenge a
typical tactic of colonialism. He notes:
a wide swath of Palestinian activists considers
the statehood initiative problematic from legal
and representational angles, because of its
primary focus on statehood rather than the
panoply of denied Palestinian rights. For them
the bid for state-recognition is better abandoned
or possibly reformulated, as it might lead to
either an even more complex situation or hollow diplomatic victory.
But, Khalidi points out:
Little of the flood of political, legal and media
analysis of this story has touched on what might
happen including economically after the dust
of the diplomatic battle has settled. What impact
might the face-off of the coming months and its
diplomatic fallout have on the livelihoods of
Palestinians living under Israeli occupation in
the West Bank and Gaza Strip? Will life just go
on under the economic union between six million
Israeli Jews and five million Palestinian Arabs,
living under the same fiscal, monetary, trade and
security regime (geared to the interests of the
Israeli Jewish economy) since 1967? And how might
this affect the fate of over one million
Palestinian Arab citizens of Israel and millions of Palestine refugees?
Voices in favor
While much of the expressed opinion has been
opposed to the UN bid, or at least highly
skpetical, there have also been a few voices in
favor. Khaled Elgindy, who worked for the
Palestinian Negotiations Support Unit (officially
part of the PLO but in actuality controlled by
the Palestinian Authority)
<http://www.huffingtonpost.com/khaled-elgindy/palestine-un_b_958743.html>argued
in The Huffington Post that the bid was largely symbolic but:
Rather than viewing the Palestinians U.N. bid as
a threat to a moribund peace process, the United
States should see it as an opportunity to reset a
failed and severely outdated approach to
resolving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. It
should seek to preempt the U.N. vote by working
with other key international actors to develop a
bold, new initiative that spells out the
requirements for a comprehensive resolution to
the conflict (the outlines of which are already
known) and then marshaling broad international support for it.
Competing Facebook pages
In the absence of wider surveys of Palestinian
public opinion, Facebook provides a very rough
guide to online reaction among Palestinians.
One <https://www.facebook.com/DEDAYLOL>Facebook
Page in Arabic for Palestinians opposed to the
September Statehood initiative has gathered over 3,000 fans.
Meanwhile the official Palestinian Authority-run
Facebook page promoting the bid, called
<https://www.facebook.com/Support.Palestine.State>Palestine
194 State had gathered just over 1,100 fans.
Freedom Archives
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