[News] What's Next in Lebanon? - Why Hezbollah Walked
Anti-Imperialist News
news at freedomarchives.org
Thu Jan 13 10:50:37 EST 2011
http://www.counterpunch.org/lamb01132011.html
January 13, 2011
What's Next in Lebanon?
Why Hezbollah Walked
By FRANKLIN LAMB
"In case no one has noticed, the Obama administration just gifted
Lebanon to Iran. Washington earlier presented Iraq, Afghanistan,
the Gulf, and Pakistan. Could it be more clear that Iran's strategic
trump card is America's subservience to Israel? For Iran, Israel's
strangle hold on the US government is the gift that keeps on giving.
" With his comment, my neighbor, Lebanese Human Rights Ambassador
Ali Khalil, declared American hegemony in the region was on a
slippery and descending slope and that yesterday's political
maneuvering in Lebanon likely accelerated American withdrawal.
My other neighbors in South Beirut appeared to go to bed early last
night following the day's events which saw the collapsed of Lebanon's
US-Saudi and Israeli backed government. Some, like my American and
Lebanese roommates were planning for quick evacuations should our
Hezbollah neighborhood-watch guys give us that special knock on the
door. Two rapid raps and a shouted "Yalla!" (Let's go) and it's time
to head north fast without looking back. The reason is because, like
many here, some neighbors fear Israel might use this latest
government crisis to invade Lebanon again.
Yesterday, our "government" electricity (and internet) was cut from
10 a.m. until 2 p.m. and again from 6 p.m. to midnight. At least
ten hour daily power cuts is the norm south and north of
the pro-US/Saudi Hamra "chic" district, where three hours or less
daily power cuts are experienced. Spending lots of hours in candle
light probably made the unsubstantiated rumors even more
unsettling. "The armed forces of Lebanon, Hezbollah and its allies,
Turkey, Syria, Jordan, Israel and Iran are on military alert. The
Americans may send battalions from Iraq!", the young man who works in
the phone shop near my flat whispered. I could not help noticing that
some of the young men normally hanging out in our hood seemed to have
vanished. Even my phone card guy was impatient with me wanting to
recharge my phone, "please hurry", he said, "I have an appointment
and need to close my shop."
The assassination of Prime Minister Rafik Hariri
The current government crisis has its origins in the February
14, 2005 Valentine's Day murder of Lebanon's prime minister Rafic
Hariri and 20 others. The Bush administration declared
Syria responsible and saw an opportunity to force the Assad regime
to drop its friendship with Washington's regional nemesis Iran, and
to end its support for the National Lebanese Resistance led by Hezbollah.
One of Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice's State Department lawyers
came up with the idea to use the UN Security Council to set up a
Special Tribunal for Lebanon (STL) to try Hariri's killers and to
hammer Syria into warming to Israel and to US projects for the region.
What was not considered at the time, but later became a godsend from
the points of view of Israel and the Bush administration was leaked
Tribunal information claiming that Hezbollah members might also be
involved in the assassination. Hardly believing, one imagines, their
good luck, Israel and the US abruptly changed directions and decided
to use the newly formed Special Tribunal for Lebanon (STL) to rid
themselves of Hezbollah once and for all as well as to correct
Syria's behavior, believing that the Syrian government would also be indicted.
The pressure on Hezbollah caused the party to condemn what it claims
is false witnesses and it strongly urged the Lebanese government to
open a case against them and not allow the STL, which it and others
believe has became fatally politicized by rushing to judgment, to
receive Lebanese government cooperation. Hezbollah's adversaries
hailed the tribunal even if Lebanon's stability was
endangered. After nearly fourteen months of trying to get the Saad
Hariri government to seriously reconsider its positions on the STL,
the Hezbollah-led opposition gave the majority an ultimatum either to
call a cabinet meeting by January 12, 2011 to discuss the STL or the
opposition Cabinet members would resign. What Hezbollah and its
allies wanted was for PM Hariri to convene a Cabinet session to
consider whether to stop payment of Lebanon's 49 per cent share of
the financing of the STL, whether to withdraw the Lebanese judges
from the tribunal, consider ending all cooperation with the STL, and
prosecuting the "false witnesses" it claimed was linked to the UN
probe into Rafik Hariri's killing.
Under enormous pressure from Washington, Paris and Riyadh ,
Saad balked. The opposition quickly resigned. Under article 69 the
Lebanese Constitution, the resignation of one-third plus one of
Cabinet members automatically leads to the collapse of the 30-member
government. It was the first time in Lebanon's politically turbulent
history that a government collapsed under pressure of the
resignations of one-third plus one of its members.
In order to secure the eleventh cabinet resignation, to add to
Hezbollah's ten, in order to bring down the pro-US government,
Hezbollah Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah's key political aide
Hussein Khalil, called President Suleiman's Cabinet designee, Sayyed
Hussein. Khalil reportedly conveyed Nasrallah's greetings and his
hope that Hussein would decide what to do based on his
conscience. Huyssein's resignation quickly followed and Hariri's
Premiership ended as he sat with President Obama at the White House.
What the toppling of the Hariri government means for the near term
Regional players reacted more or less predictably with the US
accusing Iran, Syria and Hezbollah of 'blackmail', the French warning
Syria that is would be held to account if there is violence in
Lebanon and the British warning of long term dangers. British Foreign
Secretary William Hague said in a statement: "This is an extremely
serious development which could have grave implications for Lebanon
and for regional stability." One British diplomat added last this
evening, "Good Grief, however can we resolve this problem anytime soon?"
Israeli Foreign Ministry officials said they were "carefully
following events" in Lebanon following the resignations and that "The
Lebanese understand that an attempt by extremist to disturb the peace
may turn out as a perilous gamble," according to Israeli TV Channel
10. Israel is being accused today in Lebanon of trying to provoke
strife and to gain advantage from the governmental crisis. Yesterday
after kidnapping Sharbel Khoury, a shepherd from near Rmeish (he was
released 24 hours later) the Israel navy also entered Lebanese waters
along the coast. This afternoon (1/13/10) Israeli warplanes
overflew Baalbek, Nabatiyeh and Marjayoun. These incursions
constituted Israel's 7,269 and 7,270th violation of Lebanese
sovereignty since the August 2006 adoption of UN Security Council
Resolution 1701 ordering it to stay out of Lebanon. Several UNIFIL
and UN protests have had no effect on Israel while Washington remains
mute on the subject of Israeli violations of Lebanese sovereignty.
Free Patriotic Movement member and Hezbollah supporter Jebran
Bassil, who was Minister of Energy until yesterday, blamed
Washington for the fact that Saudi-Syrian efforts to prevent the
resignations, reached a dead end. "The other side bowed to external,
especially American pressure, ignoring the advice and wishes of the
Saudi and Syrian sides," Bassil said.
For his part, Progressive Socialist Party (PSP) leader Walid
Jumblatt seemed to agree with the FPM and he attributed the failure
of mediation efforts of Saudi Arabia and Syria to the "forces of
darkness," alluding to leading Western powers, "It appears the forces
of darkness got involved and stymied the Syrian-Saudi initiative,
through which we would have seen a blocking of the negative
repercussion of the STL indictment."
Lebanese Forces leader Samir Geagea blamed the rival March 8 camp for
seeking what he called "Stalin-like" powers, accusing it of "seeking
to steal away the prerogatives of the president and the prime minister."
What next for Hezbollah?
The Hezbollah led opposition, as a result of the last election, has a
majority in the 128-member Parliament, which enables it to name a
candidate of its own for prime minister during the president's soon
to be announced binding parliamentary consultations. At noon on
1/13/10, Hezbollah voting bloc leader MP Mohammed Raad, announced
that the opposition will name "a personality with a history of
national resistance to head the new government." Some are speculating
that Hezbollah might propose the longtime Sunni leader Omar Karami, a
moderate self effacing fellow with strong Syrian, progressive, and
popular support.
Whatever it decides to do, Hezbollah may well take its time as its
ponders major responsibilities that would envelop the resistance
movement should it decide to govern Lebanon. Some of its supporters
are urging Hezbollah to accept the daunting challenge and implement
its 2009 Manifesto and its recent election platforms and end the
mafia-like corruption among some Lebanon's political leaders. Several
Lebanese civil society NGO's are urging Hezbollah to do more for
Lebanon's increasingly fragile environment, fix once and for all
Lebanon's serious water, electricity and infrastructure problems, and
let the Lebanese public decide if Hezbollah is true to their cause
and warrants its future electoral support.
Others continue to also lobby the party to immediately end Lebanon's
and the Arabs' shame and grant Palestinian refugees the
internationally mandated basic civil rights to work and to own a
home. If Hezbollah heads the government, Palestinian prospects for
achieving these elementary rights will look a lot brighter.
Franklin Lamb is doing research in Lebanon and is reachable c/o
<mailto:fplamb at gmail.com>fplamb at gmail.com
Freedom Archives
522 Valencia Street
San Francisco, CA 94110
415 863-9977
www.Freedomarchives.org
-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <http://freedomarchives.org/pipermail/news_freedomarchives.org/attachments/20110113/037c0843/attachment.htm>
More information about the News
mailing list