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<h1 class="gmail-reader-title">Hamas, Trump, Israel, and Who
Accepted What Ceasefire \u2013 Analysis</h1>
<div class="gmail-credits gmail-reader-credits">October 4,
2025</div>
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<font size="1"> Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu and US President Donald Trump. (Design:
Palestine Chronicle)
</font>
<p><strong>By <a
href="https://www.palestinechronicle.com/writers/robert-inlakesh"
title="Display all articles for Robert Inlakesh"
moz-do-not-send="true">Robert Inlakesh</a></strong></p>
<blockquote>
<h3>As it stands, there is no chance that a ceasefire
can be implemented, according to the current
parameters of the Trump-Netanyahu plan.</h3>
</blockquote>
<p>In a series of events that shocked the world, Hamas
not only issued a positive response to the latest
US-Israeli ceasefire proposal, but Donald Trump
publicly announced his intention to implement it and
called upon his allies in Tel Aviv to halt their
attack on Gaza.</p>
<p>The road towards the latest ceasefire equation has
been paved with confusion, to say the least.
Therefore, in order to make this more digestible, it
is perhaps more important to trace the deal\u2019s origins
and seek to read what potential outcomes may be ahead
of us.</p>
<p>As an entry point to comprehending what has just
happened and why so many nations have endorsed the
proposal set forth by the US President and his Israeli
counterpart, it is necessary to look at the document
known as the \u201cNew York Declaration\u201d.</p>
<p>On September 12, the United Nations General Assembly
(UNGA) unanimously voted to adopt the declaration,
which was popularly reported as a simple vote on
Palestinian Statehood. However, UNGA votes approving
the so-called two-State solution model have been voted
through unanimously for around three decades now.</p>
<p></p>
<p>The real story here was the New York Declaration\u2019s
contents. Back in July, France and Saudi Arabia
decided to co-chair a UN conference on reviving
negotiations for a two-state solution. Days prior,
Paris announced its intentions to recognise Palestine
at the UNGA in September, a pledge that would also be
made by Australia, the UK, Canada, and a number of
others.</p>
<p>On August 4, a UNGA document was produced, which then
outlined what had come as a result of the French-Saudi
initiative. For the purpose of this article, it
suffices to say that the different components of the
New York Declaration that stand out as rather
potentially problematic are the exact same as those
outlined by Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu in
their plan.</p>
<p>Both proposals demand that Hamas hand over all
Israeli captives and disarm, that a foreign military
force be deployed to Gaza, and clearly prioritise
Israel\u2019s so-called \u201csecurity\u201d over Palestinian
sovereignty.</p>
<p>Ultimately, the key difference between Trump\u2019s
so-called \u201cpeace plan\u201d and the New York Declaration is
that the US-Israeli plan explicitly asserts that there
will be no Palestinian State allowed, however small.
Whereas, the French-Saudi initiative seeks for the
State of Palestine to be a system devoid of any
democracy, also making it clear that the Palestinian
State they are recognizing is one that will be the
only country on earth that will have no military.</p>
<p>Analysing the similarities between both plans makes
it more understandable as to why the likes of France
and Saudi Arabia, which just pushed for a completely
separate plan, are now fully on board and endorse the
new Gaza ceasefire proposal. It appears as if this
process is one, where offers and counteroffers are
being made, but all as part of a process that is meant
to encircle the Palestinian people and their cause for
national liberation. In my <a
href="https://www.palestinechronicle.com/the-netanyahu-trump-gaza-plan-is-a-death-sentence-not-a-peace-proposal/"
moz-do-not-send="true">last article for the
Palestine Chronicle</a>, I explained this in more
detail.</p>
<p>When Hamas came back with its response to the
US-Israeli proposal, it did so in an extremely
calculated manner, using the rhetoric of acceptance,
yet still outlining the need for further negotiation
on different points of concern. In all, Hamas had
accepted Donald Trump\u2019s plan as a basis for
negotiating a ceasefire, in the absence of any real
agreement.</p>
<p>What led Hamas to this assumed position was a number
of factors, including, on one hand, the total
rejection of a surrender plan as it was viewed as
unacceptable by the factions in Gaza and, on the other
hand, the pressure of Qatar, Turkiye and Egypt to
accept the deal.</p>
<p>The so-called \u201cpeace plan\u201d, was not a detailed
proposal; instead, it was more of a roughly
put-together collection of political demands and
ill-articulated desires, with no mechanisms to
implement it. The only implementable part of the
so-called plan was the release of every Israeli
captive and their bodies.</p>
<p>However, the White House seemed to indicate that it
demands Hamas immediately hand over all Israeli
captives held in Gaza within 72 hours, after which
they will just have to depend on Israel\u2019s goodwill to
uphold their side of the bargain. Considering that
Israel decided to violate a much more detailed and
phased ceasefire agreement back in March, going on to
mass murder over 12,000 civilians afterwards, the idea
that Tel Aviv will respect such an agreement is
outlandish.</p>
<p>This and many other issues with the Trump-Netanyahu
proposal evidently meant that Hamas needs to engage in
negotiations to bring about a real deal that is
realistic. Therefore, this is what they asked for.</p>
<p>Then came the big surprise: Donald Trump decided to
publish a post on \u2018Truth Social\u2019 that welcomed the
Hamas statement, treating it as an acceptance. He
appeared to indicate that details needed to be sorted
out, but urged Israel to immediately stop bombing
Gaza.</p>
<p>In response to this, Israel escalated its bombardment
of Gaza City and its Prime Minister decided to issue
his own written response to the developments of the
day. Instead of reacting negatively, as Israeli media
had been for hours, Netanyahu\u2019s office indicated that
they are preparing for Hamas to hand over all of the
captives in the first stage of the agreement and
welcome it.</p>
<p>So here lies the issue. Hamas seeks to engage in
dialogue and it appears as if the US Trump
administration was expressing its openness to hashing
out the details of a ceasefire deal. Yet, the Israeli
government is speaking as if Hamas is just going to
start releasing all of the captives and will agree to
immediate disarmament. Both cannot be true.</p>
<p>Therefore, this deal will have to go one of two ways:
either through negotiations or Israel demands the
immediate release of its captives. The latter is not a
reasonable assumption, as Hamas would lose all of its
bargaining chips; therefore, it will only proceed in
the case of negotiations.</p>
<p>Ultimately, the negotiations could either lead to
Hamas fully surrendering, which is unlikely, or the
talks will begin to evolve towards shaping a ceasefire
deal that is closer to what was previously proposed
and accepted. It appears however, that the Israelis
will attempt to throw a spanner in the works before
the talks reach such stages, then blame Hamas for
violating the deal.</p>
<p>As it stands, there is no chance that a ceasefire can
be implemented \u2013 according to the current parameters
of the Trump-Netanyahu plan \u2013 where the Israelis would
actually stop their ethnic cleansing and even the war.
If Hamas were to somehow agree to surrender, it would
be a death sentence for the future of Palestinian life
and self-determination in Gaza.</p>
<p>Although it could appear somewhat unrelated, the US
has just deployed its USS Gerald Ford Strike Group to
the Mediterranean, as other military assets have been
positioned in a posture that points towards a renewed
attack on Iran.</p>
<p>It is more than plausible to believe that this
so-called \u201cpeace proposal\u201d is part of a grander
regional strategy. This has been the case in the past,
with previous rounds of Gaza ceasefire talks paving
the way to the expansion of Israeli-US military
operations across various fronts in the region.</p>
<p>While it is impossible to predict the precise series
of events that will lead to the outcomes outlined
here, it is safe to conclude that this ceasefire deal
is far from a strong and detailed agreement; instead,
it is closer to the basis for talks.</p>
<p><em>(The Palestine Chronicle)</em></p>
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<p><br>
</p>
<p><span><em>\u2013 Robert Inlakesh is a journalist,
writer, and documentary filmmaker. He focuses on
the Middle East, specializing in Palestine. He
contributed this article to The Palestine
Chronicle. </em></span></p>
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