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<h1 class="gmail-reader-title">War with Hezbollah to be 'Israel's' deadliest: 130-page Israeli report</h1>
<div class="gmail-credits gmail-reader-credits">Al Mayadeen English</div>
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<div class="gmail-reader-estimated-time" dir="ltr">February 11, 2024<br></div>
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<div class="gmail-moz-reader-content gmail-reader-show-element"><div id="gmail-readability-page-1" class="gmail-page"><p>An
Israeli report underlines that the Israeli occupation has no chance in
the face of the Islamic Resistance in Lebanon as the latter's
capabilities would rapidly overwhelm "Tel Aviv".</p><img src="cid:ii_lskkerod0" alt="1890b335-7054-450d-b6b7-11e61e7fd7df.jpg" width="444" height="296"><br><div><ul id="gmail-content-slick-0"><div aria-hidden="false"><li>
Fighters from the Lebanese resistance group Hezbollah carry
out a training exercise in Aaramta village in the Jezzine District,
southern Lebanon, Sunday, May 21, 2023 (<em>AP Photo</em>/Hassan Ammar)
</li></div></ul>
<p>The potential war between the Israeli occupation and Lebanon's
Hezbollah holds a grim reality for the Israeli occupation, as it would
be the most devastating war it has gone through since its inception, as
per a three-year study conducted by hundreds of experts at the
Counter-Terrorism Policy Institute at Reichman University.</p>
<p>Israeli news outlet <em>Calcalist </em>shed light on the grim
analysis of the potential war, which warns of unprecedented destruction
and bloodshed in a conflict that could surpass the Israeli occupation's <a href="https://english.almayadeen.net/videos/terrifying-morning-for-israel" target="_blank" rel="noopener">worst fears</a>.</p>
<p>The exhaustive 130-page report was a collaborative effort of six
think tank teams, consisting of 100 experts, former military and
security officials, academics, and government officials. Notably, the
team was led by Professor Boaz Ganor, a globally recognized pioneer in
so-called "terrorism research" and the current president of Reichman
University. </p>
<p>The report delves into critical aspects, including the readiness of
the Israeli forces and the home front for a multi-front war. Key
contributors to the study include Reserve Major General Aharon Ze'evi
Farkash, Reserve Major General Isaac Ben-Israel, Reserve Brigadier
Generals Zeev Zuk Ram and Betzalel Treiber, Reserve Colonel Eran Makov,
Haim Tomer, and former Justice Minister Dan Meridor.</p>
<p>Despite the gravity of the findings, <em>Calcalist </em>suggests that
doubts surround the timing of the report's release, hinting at possible
concealment or manipulation. Ganor reportedly presented the report to
various Israeli military and political leaders in the months leading up
to the Palestinian Resistance's October 7 operation. However, the
attempts to <a href="https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/-israel--dismissed-intel-on-oct-7--said-beyond-hamas-capabil" target="_blank" rel="noopener">alert security agencies and decision-makers</a> were allegedly unsuccessful, according to the Israeli media outlet.</p>
<p>The report was presented to senior Israeli officials over the span of
40 meetings with figures as high-ranking as former Prime Minister
Naftali Bennett, Security Minister Moshe Ya'alon, and former Chief of
Staff Aviv Kochavi, among others.</p>
<p>Professor Ganor expressed his disappointment in failing to secure
meetings with more high-profile figures like Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu, National Security Council head Tzachi Hanegbi, and Chief of
Staff Herzi Halevi, despite multiple requests.</p>
<p>Of particular concern is the claim that only the findings of five
think tank teams were made public, with the section prepared by the
sixth team, focusing on aspects related to a potential Israeli <a href="https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/israelis-wanted--pre-emptive-strike--on-lebanon--did-biden-h" target="_blank" rel="noopener">preemptive attack</a>, remaining strictly confidential.</p>
<h2>Hellfire to rain down on 'Israel'</h2>
<p>Ganor's report suggests that the war, anticipated to erupt from the
north, will be overwhelmingly intense for the Israeli occupation, with
Hezbollah launching a whopping <a href="https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/hezbollah-s-dual-threat-to--israel---massive-firepower--radw" target="_blank" rel="noopener">2,500 to 3,000 missiles per day</a>. This barrage includes both statistically inaccurate rocket artillery and high-precision long-range missiles.</p>
<p>Periodically, <a href="https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/us-warns-israel-to-avoid-escalation-with-hezbollah" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Hezbollah</a>
is expected to unleash massive salvos targeting specific areas, such as
crucial Israeli military bases or cities in the key "Gush Dan" region,
where hundreds of rockets could rain down in a single day.</p>
<p>The relentless assault is projected to persist day after day,
extending over three weeks from the outbreak of hostilities. The report
warns that the resulting destruction will be unprecedented, accompanied
by <a href="https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/hezbollah-attacks-israeli-command-center-as-israeli-casualti" target="_blank" rel="noopener">thousands of casualties</a> on both the front lines and among Israeli settlers within occupied Palestine, sparking a state of panic and disarray.</p>
<p>One of the primary objectives of Hezbollah's prospective operations,
as highlighted by Ganor, is to undermine the Israeli forces' air defense
system. Precision ammunition and low-flying aerial devices, including
drones, gliders, and cruise missiles, are expected to inflict material
damage and target Iron Dome batteries.</p>
<p>The pace of the barrage will present unprecedented challenges to
Israeli capabilities, depleting reserves of interception missiles for
the <a href="https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/-meron--saga-continues--iron-dome-inapt-against-hezbollah-s" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Iron Dome</a> and David's Sling within the early days of the conflict. The Israeli occupation could be <a href="https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/hezbollah-bombs-two-israeli-iron-dome-systems" target="_blank" rel="noopener">left exposed</a> to thousands of rocket and missile attacks without an effective and reliable defensive mechanism.</p>
<p>Simultaneously, Hezbollah aims to sabotage the activities of the <a href="https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/israeli-air-force-unreliable-in-wars-if-more-pilots-refuse-s" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Israeli Air Force</a>
and limit its operational capabilities as heavy precision missiles will
be directed at takeoff runways within specific timeframes to hinder
repair efforts and aerial offensives.</p>
<p>Intensive fire will target hangars storing military aircraft and
precision missiles with explosive warheads will strike sensitive
infrastructure, including power stations, electricity-related
facilities, desalination plants, and transportation facilities in Haifa
and "Ashdod", the report underlined.</p>
<p>The report's research team also issued a dire warning that a swarm of
dozens of suicide drones flying at very low altitudes would target
critical assets within occupied Palestine. These include weapons
facilities, emergency storage facilities for the Israeli occupation
forces, and hospitals that would be needed for the unprecedented
casualties that would be incurred.</p>
<p>The assault won't be limited to physical attacks; critical
transportation infrastructure, communication channels, and sites related
to government ministries and local authorities are expected to face
widespread cyberattacks, posing a serious risk of disrupting the
economy.</p>
<h2>Hezbollah, allies to overwhelm 'Israel'</h2>
<p>The report highlights that chaos is expected to escalate within the
Israeli occupation as Hezbollah prepares to send hundreds of fighters
from the Radwan force into Israeli territories. Their primary objective
would be to gain control of settlements along the border area with
Lebanon and strategic <a href="https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/hezbollah-pounds-israeli-site-with-burkan-rockets--targets-c" target="_blank" rel="noopener">military sites in the northern region</a>.</p>
<p>This would force the Israeli army to divert its efforts from
immediate operations in Lebanon, engaging in ground maneuvers to counter
the imminent threat.</p>
<p>Internally, the Israeli public is anticipated to face challenges in
receiving updated and reliable information about the unfolding
situation, leading to a <a href="https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/-real-distrust--in-netanyahu-even-among-pro--israel--us-lawm" target="_blank" rel="noopener">loss of trust</a> in messages relayed by official sources.</p>
<p>The potential for panic and fear is expected to intensify due to the
significant number of casualties, extensive damage, disruptions in power
and water supply, delays in the arrival of rescue and relief forces,
and difficulties in obtaining essential services such as food and
medicine.</p>
<p>Hezbollah plans to exacerbate panic and confusion through continuous <a href="https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/hezbollah-video-creative-psyops---israeli-media" target="_blank" rel="noopener">psychological warfare</a>,
flooding the media and social networks with threats and information
that deepen internal divisions. Additionally, those seeking to escape
from occupied Palestine may discover that the country's air links with
the world have been severed.</p>
<p>Ganor, a prominent figure in the region, pointed out that the Israeli
public's expectations of the Air Force and intelligence formations
preventing the majority of guided missile strikes on the Israeli
occupation are likely to be disproven. The assumption that an intensive
Israeli attack on strategically important properties in Lebanon will
force Hezbollah to cease fire is also expected to be proven wrong.</p>
<p>Hezbollah will not be alone in this battle, as the report warns of
involvement from organizations across the region. Resistance factions in
Syria and Iraq, Hamas and the Palestinian Islamic Jihad in Gaza, as
well as <a href="https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/yemen-joining-in-battle-keeps-israel-on-its-toes" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Ansar Allah in Yemen</a>, are expected to contribute to what the report describes as a "violent and extensive upheaval."</p>
<p>The upheaval in question will include disruptions in the West Bank
and among Palestinians of '48, with rioting in mixed cities, challenges
in war perception for the public, and the lowering of expectations from
the army and rescue forces.</p>
<p>The report concludes by outlining vulnerabilities and pinpointing
weaknesses in the Israeli forces and society. It challenges the
expectations of the public and a significant portion of the leadership,
stating that the effective <a href="https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/air-force-to-become-strategic-target-for-adversaries:-israel" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Israeli Air Force</a> and intelligence formations might not prevent the majority of missile strikes from reaching occupied Palestinian territories.</p>
<p>Similarly, the assumption that extensive attacks on strategically
important properties in Lebanon would force Hezbollah to cease fire is
expected to be inaccurate.</p>
<h2>'Israel' dooming?</h2>
<p>A report made in late January by Israeli media outlets saw the
Israelis admitting to the Lebanese Resistance's capabilities, saying
Hezbollah possessed the capability to launch approximately a thousand
missiles at 'Tel Aviv' within a two-hour operational window. The report
suggests that some of these missiles will be <a href="https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/hezbollah-long-range--precision-rockets--the-most-dangerous" target="_blank" rel="noopener">precision-guided</a>, while others will be directed toward the skyscrapers in "Tel Aviv".</p>
<p>However, the report refrained from discussing potential targets
adjacent to these towers, which Hezbollah has identified as "targets in
the next war," according to their statement.</p>
<p>Israeli officials admitted that the Lebanese resistance, Hezbollah, has succeeded in <a href="https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/israeli-officials--hezbollah-overtook-the-north-in--simple-e" target="_blank" rel="noopener">emptying the settlements in northern occupied Palestine</a>
without the use of any force. According to the officials, the Israeli
Occupation Forces (IOF) commander of the northern region has received
instructions not to escalate confrontations with the Lebanese
resistance.</p>
<p>In a related context, a former Shin Bet official Dvir Karev told
Israeli Channel 13 that "Israel" is currently in its third war with
Lebanon and that <a href="https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/tough-night-in-north--hezbollah-pounds-iof-with-heavy-burkan" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Hezbollah has much more power</a>
than Hamas, both in weapons and in force. He questioned whether the
IOF's power could be sufficient against Hezbollah and expressed hope
that the confrontations would remain at a low level, acknowledging the
many Israeli casualties.</p></div></div></div>
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