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                          Online</a></td>
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                        New Roman',serif;" valign="top"><a
href="https://go.ind.media/e/546932/ine-war-began-in-2014-not-2022/mz6jq9/1011380940?h=Ogc1qvuOolw5nRLbfP5SqjuBywLAXOEssWc5Emm4wZ4"
                          target="_blank" moz-do-not-send="true"><b>Understanding
                            the War in Ukraine</b></a></td>
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                        valign="top"><b>By Vijay Prashad</b>
                        <div><br>
                          The war between Russia and Ukraine began much
                          before February 24, 2022—the date provided by
                          the Ukrainian government, NATO and the United
                          States for the beginning of the Russian
                          invasion of Ukraine. According to Dmitry
                          Kovalevich, a journalist and a member of a
                          now-banned communist organization in Ukraine,
                          the war actually started in the spring of 2014
                          and has never stopped since.<br>
                          <br>
                          He writes to me from the south of Kyiv/Kiev,
                          Ukraine, and recounts an anecdote: “What’s
                          there at the front line?” asks one person.
                          “Our troops are winning as usual!” comes the
                          response. “Who are our troops?” the first
                          person inquires and is told, “We’ll soon see…”
                          In a war, everything is in dispute, even the
                          name of Ukraine’s capital (Kyiv in Ukrainian,
                          and Kiev in Russian, goes the <a
href="https://go.ind.media/e/546932/-03-war-of-words-kiev-vs-kyiv-/mz6jqc/1011380940?h=Ogc1qvuOolw5nRLbfP5SqjuBywLAXOEssWc5Emm4wZ4"
                            moz-do-not-send="true">debate</a> online).<br>
                          <br>
                          Wars are among the most difficult of <a
href="https://go.ind.media/e/546932/here-war-reporting-goes-wrong-/mz6jqf/1011380940?h=Ogc1qvuOolw5nRLbfP5SqjuBywLAXOEssWc5Emm4wZ4"
                            moz-do-not-send="true">reporting</a>
                          assignments for a journalist. These days,
                          especially, with the torrent of social media
                          and the belligerence of network news
                          television channels, matters on the ground are
                          hard to sort out. Basic facts about the events
                          taking place during a war are hard to
                          establish, let alone ensuring the correct
                          interpretation of these facts. Videos of
                          apparent war atrocities that can be found on
                          social media platforms like YouTube are
                          impossible to verify. Often, it becomes clear
                          that much of the content relating to war that
                          can be found on these platforms has either
                          been misidentified or is from other conflicts.
                          Even the BBC, which has taken a very strong
                          pro-Ukrainian and NATO position on this
                          conflict, had to
                          run a <a
href="https://go.ind.media/e/546932/news-60554910/mz6jqh/1011380940?h=Ogc1qvuOolw5nRLbfP5SqjuBywLAXOEssWc5Emm4wZ4"
                            moz-do-not-send="true">story</a> about how
                          so many of the viral claims about Russian
                          atrocities are false. Among these false
                          claims, which have garnered widespread
                          circulation, is a video circulating on TikTok
                          that wrongly alleges to be that of a
                          “Ukrainian girl confronting a Russian
                          soldier,” but is instead a video of the
                          then-11-year-old Palestinian <a
href="https://go.ind.media/e/546932/ews-world-middle-east-42612666/mz6jqk/1011380940?h=Ogc1qvuOolw5nRLbfP5SqjuBywLAXOEssWc5Emm4wZ4"
                            moz-do-not-send="true">Ahed Tamimi</a>
                          confronting an Israeli soldier in 2012; the
                          video continues to circulate on <a
href="https://go.ind.media/e/546932/eo-7069740585371962630-lang-en/mz6jqm/1011380940?h=Ogc1qvuOolw5nRLbfP5SqjuBywLAXOEssWc5Emm4wZ4"
                            moz-do-not-send="true">TikTok</a> with the
                          caption, “Little [girls] stand up to Russian
                          soldiers.”<br>
                          <br>
                          Meanwhile, disputing the date for the
                          beginning of the Russian-Ukrainian war as
                          February 24, Kovalevich tells me, “The war in
                          Ukraine didn’t start in February 2022. It
                          began in the spring of 2014 in the Donbas and
                          has not stopped for these eight years.”
                          Kovalevich is a member of Borotba (Struggle),
                          a communist organization in Ukraine. Borotba,
                          like other communist and Marxist
                          organizations, was <a
href="https://go.ind.media/e/546932/news-id-7083272-/mz6jqp/1011380940?h=Ogc1qvuOolw5nRLbfP5SqjuBywLAXOEssWc5Emm4wZ4"
                            moz-do-not-send="true">banned</a> by the
                          previous U.S.-backed Ukrainian government of
                          Petro Poroshenko in 2015 (as part of this
                          ongoing crackdown, two communist youth
                          leaders—Aleksandr Kononovich and Mikhail
                          Kononovich—were <a
href="https://go.ind.media/e/546932/rrest-young-communist-leaders-/mz6jqr/1011380940?h=Ogc1qvuOolw5nRLbfP5SqjuBywLAXOEssWc5Emm4wZ4"
                            moz-do-not-send="true">arrested</a> by
                          Ukrainian
                          security services on March 6).<br>
                          <br>
                          “Most of our comrades had to migrate to
                          Donetsk and Luhansk,” Kovalevich tells me.
                          These are the two eastern provinces of mainly
                          Russian speakers that broke away <a
href="https://go.ind.media/e/546932/raine-regions-mean-2022-02-21-/mz6jqt/1011380940?h=Ogc1qvuOolw5nRLbfP5SqjuBywLAXOEssWc5Emm4wZ4"
                            moz-do-not-send="true">from</a> “Ukrainian
                          government control in 2014” and had been under
                          the control of Russian-backed groups. In
                          February, however, before the Russian invasion
                          of Ukraine, Russian President Vladimir Putin <a
href="https://go.ind.media/e/546932/raine-regions-mean-2022-02-21-/mz6jqt/1011380940?h=Ogc1qvuOolw5nRLbfP5SqjuBywLAXOEssWc5Emm4wZ4"
                            moz-do-not-send="true">recognized</a> these
                          “two breakaway regions in eastern Ukraine as
                          independent,” making this contentious move the
                          stepping stone for the final military invasion
                          by Russia. Now, Kovalevich says, his comrades
                          “expect to come back from exile and work
                          legally.” This expectation is based on the
                          assumption that the Ukrainian government will
                          be forced to get rid of the existing system,
                          which includes Western-trained-and-funded
                          anti-Russian right-wing vigilante and
                          paramilitary agents in the country, and will
                          have to reverse many of the Poroshenko-era
                          illiberal and anti-minority (including
                          anti-Russian) laws.<br>
                          <br>
                          <b>‘I Feel Nervous’</b><br>
                          <br>
                          “I feel quite nervous,” Kovalevich tells me.
                          “[This war] looks very grim and not so much
                          because of the Russians but because of our
                          [Ukrainian] armed gangs that are looting and
                          robbing [the country].” When the Russians
                          intervened, Ukrainian President Volodymyr
                          Zelenskyy <a
href="https://go.ind.media/e/546932/t-promises-weapons-2022-02-24-/mz6jqw/1011380940?h=Ogc1qvuOolw5nRLbfP5SqjuBywLAXOEssWc5Emm4wZ4"
                            moz-do-not-send="true">handed out</a>
                          weapons to any citizen who wanted to defend
                          the country. Kovalevich, who lives in central
                          Ukraine just south of the capital, says, “My
                          area was not affected by military actions—only
                          by the terror of [right-wing] nationalist
                          gangs.”<br>
                          <br>
                          During the first days of the Russian military
                          intervention, Kovalevich took in a Roma family
                          who had fled from the war zone. “My family had
                          a spare room,” Kovalevich tells me. Roma
                          organizations <a
href="https://go.ind.media/e/546932/ne-PDF-Roma-of-Ukraine-eng-pdf/mz6jqy/1011380940?h=Ogc1qvuOolw5nRLbfP5SqjuBywLAXOEssWc5Emm4wZ4"
                            moz-do-not-send="true">say</a> that there
                          are about 400,000 Roma in Ukraine, most of
                          them living in the western part of Ukraine, in
                          Zakarpatska Oblast (bordering Hungary, Poland,
                          Romania and Slovakia). “The Roma people in our
                          country are regularly assaulted by
                          [right-wing] nationalists,” Kovalevich says.
                          “The nationalists used to attack them [Roma]
                          publicly, burning their encampments, calling
                          it ‘cleansing garbage.’ The police didn’t
                          react as our far-right gangs always work in
                          cooperation with either the police or with the
                          security service.” This Roma family, who
                          was being sheltered by Kovalevich and his
                          family, is on the move toward western Ukraine,
                          where most of the Ukrainian-Roma population
                          lives. “But it is very unsafe to move,”
                          Kovalevich tells me. “There are nationalists
                          [manning these] checkpoints [along] all roads
                          [in Ukraine, and they] may shoot [anyone] who
                          may seem suspicious to them or just rob
                          refugees.”<br>
                          <br>
                          <b>Minsk Agreements</b><br>
                          <br>
                          The war in the Donbas region that began in
                          2014 resulted in two agreements being signed
                          in Belarus in 2014 and 2015, which were named
                          after the capital of Belarus, and were called
                          the <a
href="https://go.ind.media/e/546932/s-ukraine-conflict-2022-02-21-/mz6jr1/1011380940?h=Ogc1qvuOolw5nRLbfP5SqjuBywLAXOEssWc5Emm4wZ4"
                            moz-do-not-send="true">Minsk agreements</a>.
                          These agreements were aimed at “[ending] the
                          separatist war by Russian speakers in eastern
                          Ukraine.” The <a
href="https://go.ind.media/e/546932/A-150212-MinskAgreement-en-pdf/mz6jr3/1011380940?h=Ogc1qvuOolw5nRLbfP5SqjuBywLAXOEssWc5Emm4wZ4"
                            moz-do-not-send="true">second</a> of these
                          agreements was signed by two leading political
                          figures from Ukraine (Leonid Kuchma, the
                          president of Ukraine from 1994 to 2005) and
                          from Russia (Mikhail Zurabov, the ambassador
                          of the Russian Federation to Ukraine,
                          2009-2016), respectively, and was overseen by
                          a Swiss diplomat (Heidi
                          Tagliavini, who <a
href="https://go.ind.media/e/546932/HUDOC-38263-08-Annexes-ENG-pdf/mz6jr5/1011380940?h=Ogc1qvuOolw5nRLbfP5SqjuBywLAXOEssWc5Emm4wZ4"
                            moz-do-not-send="true">chaired</a> the
                          Independent International Fact-Finding Mission
                          on the Conflict in Georgia, 2008-2009). This
                          Minsk II agreement was <a
href="https://go.ind.media/e/546932/press-en-2015-sc11785-doc-htm/mz6jr7/1011380940?h=Ogc1qvuOolw5nRLbfP5SqjuBywLAXOEssWc5Emm4wZ4"
                            moz-do-not-send="true">endorsed</a> by the
                          UN Security Council resolution 2022 on
                          February 17, 2015. If the Minsk agreements had
                          been adhered to, Russia and Ukraine would have
                          secured an arrangement that would have been
                          acceptable in the Donbas.<br>
                          <br>
                          “Two Ukrainian governments signed the Minsk
                          agreements,” Kovalevich tells me, “but didn’t
                          fulfill it. Recently Zelenskyy’s officials
                          openly mocked the agreement, saying they
                          wouldn’t fulfill it (encouraged by the U.S.
                          and the UK, of course). That was a sheer
                          violation of all rules—you can’t sign [the
                          agreements] and then refuse to fulfill it.”
                          The language of the Minsk agreements was, as
                          Kovalevich says, “liberal enough for the
                          government.” The two republics of Donetsk and
                          Luhansk would have remained a part of Ukraine
                          and they would have been afforded some
                          cultural autonomy (this was in the footnote to
                          <a
href="https://go.ind.media/e/546932/A-150212-MinskAgreement-en-pdf/mz6jr3/1011380940?h=Ogc1qvuOolw5nRLbfP5SqjuBywLAXOEssWc5Emm4wZ4"
                            moz-do-not-send="true">Article 11</a> of the
                          February 12, 2015, Minsk II Agreement). “This
                          was unacceptable to our nationalists and
                          [right-wing
                          nationalists],” Kovalevich says to me. They
                          “would like to organize purges and vengeance
                          there [in Donetsk and Luhansk].” Before the
                          Russian military intervention, the UN High
                          Commissioner for Human Rights <a
href="https://go.ind.media/e/546932/en-story-2022-02-1112202/mz6jr9/1011380940?h=Ogc1qvuOolw5nRLbfP5SqjuBywLAXOEssWc5Emm4wZ4"
                            moz-do-not-send="true">found</a> that more
                          than 14,000 people had been killed in the
                          ongoing conflict in Donetsk and Luhansk
                          despite the Minsk agreements. It is this
                          violence that provokes Kovalevich to make his
                          comments about the violence of the
                          ultra-nationalists and the right-wing
                          paramilitary. “The elected authorities are a
                          cover, masking the real rulers of Ukraine,”
                          Kovalevich says. Ukraine’s President Zelenskyy
                          and his allies in the parliament do not drive
                          the governing process in their country but
                          have “an agenda imposed on them by the
                          far-right armed
                          groups.”<br>
                          <br>
                          <b>Peace?</b><br>
                          <br>
                          Negotiations are <a
href="https://go.ind.media/e/546932/ne-talks-belarus-31727584-html/mz6jrc/1011380940?h=Ogc1qvuOolw5nRLbfP5SqjuBywLAXOEssWc5Emm4wZ4"
                            moz-do-not-send="true">ongoing</a> on the
                          Ukraine-Belarus border between the Russians
                          and the Ukrainians. Kovalevich is, however,
                          not optimistic about a positive outcome from
                          these negotiations. Decisions, he says, are
                          not made by the Ukrainian president alone, but
                          by the right-wing ultra-nationalist
                          paramilitary armed groups and the NATO
                          countries. As Kovalevich and I were speaking,
                          the Washington Post published a <a
href="https://go.ind.media/e/546932/-05-russia-ukraine-insurgency-/mz6jrf/1011380940?h=Ogc1qvuOolw5nRLbfP5SqjuBywLAXOEssWc5Emm4wZ4"
                            moz-do-not-send="true">report</a> about
                          “Plans for a U.S.-backed insurgency in
                          Ukraine”; former U.S. Secretary of State
                          Hillary Clinton <a
href="https://go.ind.media/e/546932/l-maddow-show-2-28-22-n1290370/mz6jrh/1011380940?h=Ogc1qvuOolw5nRLbfP5SqjuBywLAXOEssWc5Emm4wZ4"
                            moz-do-not-send="true">implied</a> an
                          Afghanistan-style guerrilla war in Ukraine,
                          saying, “We have to keep tightening the
                          screws.” “This reveals that they [the U.S.]
                          don’t really care about Ukrainians,”
                          Kovalevich says. “They want to use this as an
                          opportunity to cause some pain to the
                          Russians.”<br>
                          <br>
                          These comments by Clinton and others suggest
                          to Kovalevich that the United States wants “to
                          organize chaos between Russia and the
                          Europeans.” Peace in Ukraine, he says, “is a
                          matter of reconciliation between NATO and the
                          new global powers, Russia and China.” Till
                          such a reconciliation is possible, and till
                          Europe develops a rational foreign policy, “we
                          will be affected by wars,” says Kovalevich.<br>
                          <br>
                          <em><b>Vijay Prashad</b> is an Indian
                            historian, editor and journalist. He is a
                            writing fellow and chief correspondent at <a
href="https://go.ind.media/e/546932/2022-03-10/mz6jrk/1011380940?h=Ogc1qvuOolw5nRLbfP5SqjuBywLAXOEssWc5Emm4wZ4"
                              moz-do-not-send="true">Globetrotter</a>.
                            He is the chief editor of <a
href="https://go.ind.media/e/546932/2022-03-10/mz6jrm/1011380940?h=Ogc1qvuOolw5nRLbfP5SqjuBywLAXOEssWc5Emm4wZ4"
                              moz-do-not-send="true">LeftWord Books</a>
                            and the director of <a
href="https://go.ind.media/e/546932/2022-03-10/mz6jrp/1011380940?h=Ogc1qvuOolw5nRLbfP5SqjuBywLAXOEssWc5Emm4wZ4"
                              moz-do-not-send="true">Tricontinental:
                              Institute for Social Research</a>. He is a
                            senior non-resident fellow at <a
href="https://go.ind.media/e/546932/y2hdjcpo/mz6jrr/1011380940?h=Ogc1qvuOolw5nRLbfP5SqjuBywLAXOEssWc5Emm4wZ4"
                              moz-do-not-send="true">Chongyang Institute
                              for Financial Studies</a>, Renmin
                            University of China. He has written more
                            than 20 books, including</em> <a
href="https://go.ind.media/e/546932/1595583424--tag-alternorg08-20/mz6jrt/1011380940?h=Ogc1qvuOolw5nRLbfP5SqjuBywLAXOEssWc5Emm4wZ4"
                            moz-do-not-send="true">The Darker Nations</a>
                          <em>and</em> <a
href="https://go.ind.media/e/546932/1781681589--tag-alternorg08-20/mz6jrw/1011380940?h=Ogc1qvuOolw5nRLbfP5SqjuBywLAXOEssWc5Emm4wZ4"
                            moz-do-not-send="true">The Poorer Nations</a><em>.
                            His latest book is</em> <a
href="https://go.ind.media/e/546932/catalog-product-view-id-21820/mz6jry/1011380940?h=Ogc1qvuOolw5nRLbfP5SqjuBywLAXOEssWc5Emm4wZ4"
                            moz-do-not-send="true">Washington Bullets</a><em>,
                            with an introduction by Evo Morales Ayma.</em></div>
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