[News] Iran is winning the war with the US. This is how

Sat Apr 4 11:04:57 EDT 2026

Iran is winning the war with the US. This is how
Iran is winning the war started by Trump. This is now admitted even in 
the Western media. Tehran has destroyed major US military bases in West 
Asia, expelling American troops to Europe.
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  Iran is winning the war with the US. This is how
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      Iran is winning the war started by Trump. This is now admitted
      even in the Western media. Tehran has destroyed major US military
      bases in West Asia, expelling American troops to Europe.

Ben Norton <https://substack.com/@benjaminnorton>

Apr 4, 2026

<https://substack.com/@benjaminnorton>

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More than a month has passed since the United States and Israel launched 
a war of aggression against Iran on February 28.

It is now clear that Iran is winning this war.

The Donald Trump administration has failed to carry out regime change or 
state collapse. The Iranian government has proven to be resilient.

Tehran has used asymmetric tactics to defend itself 
<https://substack.com/redirect/33daba8e-985b-43b8-8fdb-b0d36a62ba53?j=eyJ1IjoibHZwcGIifQ.9RIwWbE6EVIB7Jy8lfazxZKfps8R18neRGMKwOiqnRM>, 
targeting the weak points of the US empire and exacting a heavy price on 
its military, economy, and allies.

In fact, Iran has successfully destroyed the US military bases in West 
Asia, forcing many American troops out of the region. The Pentagon is 
primarily waging this war from bases in Europe.

<https://substack.com/redirect/2869b565-5fe9-481f-9943-d2d2e7f2edf4?j=eyJ1IjoibHZwcGIifQ.9RIwWbE6EVIB7Jy8lfazxZKfps8R18neRGMKwOiqnRM> 

      Western media admits Iran is winning the war

The fact that Iran is winning the war is even being admitted by major 
Western media outlets.

The British newspaper The Independent printed an article titled “Iran is 
the clear winner 
<https://substack.com/redirect/b7528210-0bf5-47ee-8796-7b68f5642003?j=eyJ1IjoibHZwcGIifQ.9RIwWbE6EVIB7Jy8lfazxZKfps8R18neRGMKwOiqnRM>as 
Trump’s desperate bid for peace shows he wants out of the war”.

	<https://substack.com/redirect/98e07df5-4c75-41e9-8309-695b0fdea7b8?j=eyJ1IjoibHZwcGIifQ.9RIwWbE6EVIB7Jy8lfazxZKfps8R18neRGMKwOiqnRM> 	

Politico published an op-ed arguing that the “war against Iran is a far 
bigger strategic error 
<https://substack.com/redirect/e8d98ad5-dce9-41cf-8008-f72e450de9a5?j=eyJ1IjoibHZwcGIifQ.9RIwWbE6EVIB7Jy8lfazxZKfps8R18neRGMKwOiqnRM>” 
than the US invasion of Iraq in 2003.

Ironically, this article was written by the former US ambassador to 
NATO, Ivo Daalder, who had previously supported the war on Iraq.

Most US media outlets helped to promote the George W. Bush 
administration’s invasion of Iraq, which blatantly violated 
international law 
<https://substack.com/redirect/1767ad5e-3978-4636-a079-81814a1bc0b0?j=eyJ1IjoibHZwcGIifQ.9RIwWbE6EVIB7Jy8lfazxZKfps8R18neRGMKwOiqnRM>. 
In fact, the corporate press has supported every major US war for 
decades, including the wars in Korea, Vietnam, Yugoslavia, Iraq (twice), 
Afghanistan, Libya, Syria, Yemen, the list goes on and on.

This is the first major US war in decades that the Western media is 
criticizing from the very beginning.

So the writing is on the wall. It is clear to everyone that this 
conflict is a disaster, and Iran is winning.

Foreign Affairs is the official publication of the Council on Foreign 
Relations, whose members are a veritable Who’s Who of the US ruling 
class. Yet even Foreign Affairs published an article acknowledging that 
Iran is winning this war 
<https://substack.com/redirect/aa673586-1474-4ff1-bc3c-aff87fae53dd?j=eyJ1IjoibHZwcGIifQ.9RIwWbE6EVIB7Jy8lfazxZKfps8R18neRGMKwOiqnRM>.

The author of the essay, Narges Bajoghli, is a professor at the 
prestigious Johns Hopkins University, which is a significant recruiting 
ground for the US State Department.

Bajoghli wrote the following in Foreign Affairs (all emphasis added):

    Judging by the *metrics of conventional conflict,*Iran is not faring
    well against the United States and Israel. Its adversaries are
    destroying crucial targets in Iran, killing its commanders and
    degrading its military assets. But these are the *wrong measures for
    assessing Iran’s position in the war*. The right measure is not even
    an assessment of whether Iran is absorbing punishment well—which it
    is. The question that will matter when the fighting ends is *whether
    Tehran is achieving its strategic objectives*. And on that count,
    *Iran is winning.*

    This outcome is not accidental. *Tehran has been preparing for this
    war for nearly four decades*, since the new revolutionary government
    faced its first major military test in the Iran-Iraq War, which
    lasted from 1980 to 1988. And *it is now executing a strategy that
    has managed to neutralize key U.S. and Israeli air defense
    batteries, severely damage U.S. military bases in the Persian Gulf,
    inflict substantial economic pain, and drive a wedge between the
    United States and its Gulf allies*. The Iranian regime, in other
    words, is not just surviving the U.S. and Israeli bombardment. The
    serious economic and political problems it is creating for its
    adversaries are, on a strategic level, *giving Iran the upper hand.*

      Iran’s strategic objectives in the war

To assess if Iran is winning the war, it is necessary to analyze 
Tehran’s goals.

	<https://substack.com/redirect/b776f32c-2c52-4a92-9beb-0e0eff5bffd0?j=eyJ1IjoibHZwcGIifQ.9RIwWbE6EVIB7Jy8lfazxZKfps8R18neRGMKwOiqnRM> 	

The first and most obvious strategic objective of Iran has been to 
prevent regime change and state collapse.

The Trump administration initially thought it could overthrow the 
Iranian government by carrying out so-called decapitation strikes, 
assassinating its senior political and military leaders.

Nevertheless, Washington has failed to orchestrate regime change. In 
fact, the Iranian government has not only shown that it is resilient; it 
has probably become even stronger now, because it has more popular 
legitimacy.

Many Iranians who were critical of the Islamic Republic have rallied 
behind the flag and are supporting the state, to prevent the US from 
taking control of their country (and exploiting its oil, natural 
resources, and other lucrative natural resources).

More than 850 public demonstrations 
<https://substack.com/redirect/52554aa1-d383-483a-8b43-af1cc7978abe?j=eyJ1IjoibHZwcGIifQ.9RIwWbE6EVIB7Jy8lfazxZKfps8R18neRGMKwOiqnRM>were 
held in Iran in support of the government in the first month of the 
US-Israeli war.

      Iran destroyed US military bases

A longtime strategic goal of Iran has been to expel the US military from 
West Asia.

The US surrounded Iran with roughly two dozen military bases, which were 
developed over decades.

In response to the US-Israeli war of aggression, Iran has pummeled most 
of these bases in the Persian Gulf.

	<https://substack.com/redirect/0dbdeff6-4f65-400d-b673-7fc1e79136f4?j=eyJ1IjoibHZwcGIifQ.9RIwWbE6EVIB7Jy8lfazxZKfps8R18neRGMKwOiqnRM> 	

Iran launched at least 5,471 missile and drone attacks 
<https://substack.com/redirect/ab958fab-1f26-4598-bbfb-d7425d903e3b?j=eyJ1IjoibHZwcGIifQ.9RIwWbE6EVIB7Jy8lfazxZKfps8R18neRGMKwOiqnRM>against 
the US and its allies in the first month of the war, according to 
official data compiled by Turkish state media outlet the Anadolu Agency.

These Iranian attacks have been remarkably successful.

In fact, the New York Times reported that the US military has 
essentially been pushed out of West Asia (a more accurate term for the 
Middle East).

“Many of the 13 military bases in the region used by American troops are 
all but uninhabitable”, the Times wrote in an article titled “Iran’s 
Attacks Force U.S. Troops to Work Remotely 
<https://substack.com/redirect/04043c35-5100-48b9-88b6-3cd432a9a0cb?j=eyJ1IjoibHZwcGIifQ.9RIwWbE6EVIB7Jy8lfazxZKfps8R18neRGMKwOiqnRM>”.

Among the US facilities that have been severely damaged is the Al-Udeid 
Air Base in Qatar, which is the biggest US base in West Asia; as well as 
the headquarters of the Navy’s Fifth Fleet in Bahrain.

The major US newspaper reported the following:

    *Iran has bombed U.S. bases across the Middle East*in retaliation
    for the U.S.-Israeli war, *forcing many American troops to relocate
    to hotels and office spaces throughout the region*, according to
    military personnel and American officials.

    So now *much of the land-based military is, in essence, fighting the
    war while working remotely,*with the exception of fighter pilots and
    crews operating and maintaining warplanes and conducting strikes.

Before Trump launched this war of aggression on February 28, the US had 
approximately 40,000 troops in the region. In the first month of the 
war, thousands of these US forces were sent to Europe.

The American troops that remain in West Asia have been relocated to 
“makeshift” and “alternative” sites, off base, the Times reported.

Critics have pointed out 
<https://substack.com/redirect/c789535f-7bfc-4683-a9f3-6661cbca4b2e?j=eyJ1IjoibHZwcGIifQ.9RIwWbE6EVIB7Jy8lfazxZKfps8R18neRGMKwOiqnRM>that, 
given that US soldiers are waging war on Iran from hotels and office 
spaces, this means the Pentagon is essentially using civilians in these 
areas as human shields.

	<https://substack.com/redirect/0106ffd7-12cd-4fcd-a74d-5300b9ed5621?j=eyJ1IjoibHZwcGIifQ.9RIwWbE6EVIB7Jy8lfazxZKfps8R18neRGMKwOiqnRM> 	

      US military is waging war on Iran from bases in Europe

In short, Iran has largely succeeded in expelling the US military 
occupiers from West Asia.

This fact was further confirmed by an article in the Wall Street Journal 
titled “Europe Is Quietly Playing a Crucial Role in the Iran War 
<https://substack.com/redirect/8d463f15-0437-46ba-a850-ddce588f945d?j=eyJ1IjoibHZwcGIifQ.9RIwWbE6EVIB7Jy8lfazxZKfps8R18neRGMKwOiqnRM>”.

The newspaper reported:

    While many European leaders have publicly decried
    <https://substack.com/redirect/66a5e599-d807-4155-a94b-ca11d98e2d55?j=eyJ1IjoibHZwcGIifQ.9RIwWbE6EVIB7Jy8lfazxZKfps8R18neRGMKwOiqnRM>the
    U.S. attacks on Iran, *behind the scenes their military bases are
    facilitating*one of the most logistically complex operations the
    U.S. military has been involved in for decades.

    In recent weeks, *U.S. bombers, drones and ships have been fueled,
    armed and launched via bases in the U.K., Germany, Portugal, Italy,
    France and Greece*, officials say.

    Attack drones are being directed from a sprawling *U.S. base at
    Ramstein in Germany, the nerve center of America’s operations
    against Iran*, according to German and U.S. officials. Heavy B-1
    bombers have been photographed loading munitions and fuel at RAF
    Fairford in the U.K. The USS Gerald R. Ford, the world’s largest
    aircraft carrier, is currently docked at a naval base in Crete to
    undergo repairs after suffering damage from a fire.

    U.S. Air Force Gen. Alexus Grynkewich, the North Atlantic Treaty
    Organization’s top military commander, said in recent Senate
    testimony that *most European allies “have been extremely supportive.”*

    The continent, which is home to around *40 U.S. military bases and
    80,000 U.S. service personnel*, is a *launchpad for U.S. operations
    in both the Middle East and Africa*. “The distances are shorter,
    it’s less expensive, and it’s much easier to project power with our
    network of bases and allies,” he said.

There are two major takeaways from this report.

Firstly, some European governments have publicly criticized the US war 
on Iran, acknowledging that it violated international law and 
constitutes an illegal war of aggression. However, behind the scenes, 
most EU states and the UK are helping Washington wage this war, allowing 
the Pentagon to use their territory to attack Tehran. Europe is 
therefore a party to the conflict.

Secondly, Iran has succeeded in destroying the major US military bases 
in West Asia and expelling most American troops from the region.

This is one of several reasons why it is clear that Tehran is winning 
this war 
<https://substack.com/redirect/2869b565-5fe9-481f-9943-d2d2e7f2edf4?j=eyJ1IjoibHZwcGIifQ.9RIwWbE6EVIB7Jy8lfazxZKfps8R18neRGMKwOiqnRM>.

------------------------------------------------------------------------

/You can find more information in the following video:/

<https://substack.com/redirect/33eafb8c-3a5e-4e62-9dbc-53db66c2e131?j=eyJ1IjoibHZwcGIifQ.9RIwWbE6EVIB7Jy8lfazxZKfps8R18neRGMKwOiqnRM>

*Topics*
0:00 Iran is winning the war
2:32 Iran's strategic goals
2:47 Failure of regime change
3:34 US military bases
4:25 Iran destroyed US bases
7:32 USA wages war from Europe
8:53 Bases used by USA in Europe
9:30 Iran's objectives
10:05 Gulf monarchies (GCC)
13:46 Normalization with Israel
14:54 Threats to Gulf regimes
16:40 Lifting of US sanctions
19:10 Oil and Strait of Hormuz
22:34 Escalation dominance
23:33 Costs of the war
25:34 USA running out of missiles
26:59 Deterrence
29:17 US and Israel are losing
29:42 Multipolar world
31:34 Outro

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<https://substack.com/app-link/post?publication_id=457596&post_id=192956183&utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email&isFreemail=true&comments=true&token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozNjc1MTU4MywicG9zdF9pZCI6MTkyOTU2MTgzLCJpYXQiOjE3NzUzMTMwMjUsImV4cCI6MTc3NzkwNTAyNSwiaXNzIjoicHViLTQ1NzU5NiIsInN1YiI6InBvc3QtcmVhY3Rpb24ifQ.rOm8TMVwsjr7Un6Mp3vqagfJhHFROaRkQHR12K71Ug8&r=lvppb&utm_campaign=email-half-magic-comments&action=post-comment&utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email> 

Restack 
<https://substack.com/redirect/2/eyJlIjoiaHR0cHM6Ly9vcGVuLnN1YnN0YWNrLmNvbS9wdWIvZ2VvcG9saXRpY2FsZWNvbm9teS9wL2lyYW4td2lubmluZy13YXItdXMtdHJ1bXA_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.HFJYY5uiOA4fOEaJPb4eZsv3KYTdkbuRKylGS-bTWeQ?&utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email> 

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