[News] Six Complexities of These Pandemic Times

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Thu Sep 3 12:43:34 EDT 2020


https://www.thetricontinental.org/newsletterissue/36-six-complexities-of-the-pandemic/
Six
Complexities of These Pandemic Times: The Thirty-Sixth Newsletter (2020).
September 3, 2020 - Vijay Prashad
------------------------------

Português
<https://www.thetricontinental.org/pt-pt/newsletterissue/36-six-complexities-of-the-pandemic/>

[image: Staffordshire Regiment during the Plague, Hong Kong, 1894.]

*Staffordshire Regiment during the Plague*, Hong Kong, 1894.

Dear friends,

Greetings from the desk of the Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research
<http://thetricontinental.org/>.

Social media, in March 2020, was awash with rumours. Swans and dolphins
could be seen in totally deserted Venetian canals. A group of elephants
marched into a village in Yunnan (China), drank corn wine, and went to
sleep in a tea garden. With the Great Lockdown in progress, it appeared as
if animals had taken charge of the planet while humans hid in our homes.
But there were no swans and dolphins in Venice, nor were there drunk
elephants. This was the fiction of boredom, tricks of photoshop.

In April, the World Trade Organization estimated
<https://www.wto.org/english/news_e/pres20_e/pr855_e.htm> that global trade
volumes might collapse by about 32%; markets fell, and money searched for
safe shores, such as gold. The estimates were too high; the WTO reported
<https://www.wto.org/english/news_e/pres20_e/pr858_e.htm> in June that
trade volumes fell by about 3% in the first quarter and will decline by
18.5% in the second quarter; trade has gradually picked up as China opened
up. The capitalist system was not a victim of the pandemic, nor did nature
reassert itself. The ruling classes borrowed from the future to settle
anxiety; trade – while registering a large drop – has resumed its activity.
The wealthy bondholders forced the Paris Club (official creditors) and the
London Club (private creditors) to refuse any substantial debt postponement
and debt cancellation from the Global South to ensure that the basic
structures of debt servitude remain intact
<https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/coronavirus-cancel-debt-of-developing-countries/article32142483.ece>.
War ships from the United States aggressively patrolled the Caribbean, the
Persian Gulf, and the South China Sea. In other words, the overall
structure of imperialism has been unshaken.

In our study
<https://www.thetricontinental.org/studies-3-coronashock-and-socialism/>
*CoronaShock
and Socialism*, we pointed to a marked difference in the management of the
pandemic by countries with bourgeois governments and countries with
socialist governments. The latter has a science-based, public sector,
public action, and internationalist attitude – as further explained
<https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/corona-shock-and-socialism/id1251732792?i=1000487613828>
by co-authors Manolo de los Santos and Subin Dennis – which has meant that
the areas of the world governed by socialists have experienced less of a
catastrophe than the countries of the bourgeois order. That is why it is
important to campaign
<https://peoplesdispatch.org/2020/08/25/why-cuban-doctors-deserve-the-nobel-peace-prize/>
for the Nobel Peace Prize for Cuba’s Henry Reeve International Medical
Brigade.

The pandemic produced significant shocks to the capitalist system. Of the
consequences, we will look at six complexities in this newsletter.

   1. *An assault on humanity*. In the early part of the Lockdown, half
   <https://www.ilo.org/global/about-the-ilo/newsroom/news/WCMS_743036/lang--en/index.htm>
   of the world’s employable population (1.6 billion out of 3.3 billion
   workers) – all informal workers – lost 60% of their income (workers in
   Africa and the Americas registered an 80% decline). As a result of this,
   the number of people experiencing food insecurity will rise
   <https://www.unocha.org/sites/unocha/files/GHRP-COVID19_July_update.pdf>
   from 149 million before COVID-19 to 270 million during the pandemic; the UN
   suggests that half of the world’s population struggles with hunger. Due to
   disruptions in health and nutrition services, UNICEF says
   <https://www.unicef.org/press-releases/covid-19-devastates-already-fragile-health-systems-over-6000-additional-children>
   that about 6,000 children could die per day from preventable causes by the
   year’s end. Billions of people have become a surplus population,
   unnecessary for capital accumulation. The pandemic has heightened the
   assault on humanity. There is an urgent need for direct relief for the
   unemployed and the hungry. FAO shows
   <https://www.wfpusa.org/articles/8-facts-to-know-about-food-waste-and-hunger/>
   that one trillion dollars’ worth of food is wasted or lost – enough to feed
   2 billion people. That the hungry do not have money for food, a reality in
   a class system, is the root cause of hunger.

[image: Lim Eung-sik (South Korea), Job Hunting, 1953.]

Lim Eung-sik (South Korea), *Job Hunting*, 1953.

   1. *The destruction of the petty proprietor*. Capitalism tends to
   extinguish the small farmer and the artisan, swept up as they are by the
   monopoly forces of agribusiness and industrial capital. Before the
   pandemic, the small shopkeeper, the restaurant owner, and the small
   businessperson had been protected for a variety of reasons. During the
   pandemic, these petty proprietors are being wiped out by platform
   capitalism <https://www.thetricontinental.org/dossier-28-coronavirus/>
   as the consumer has been trained to buy from the web and avoid the small
   businesses. The International Labour Organization says
   <https://www.ilo.org/global/about-the-ilo/newsroom/news/WCMS_743036/lang--en/index.htm>
   that more than 436 million enterprises that operate in wholesale and retail
   ‘face high risks of serious disruption’. The transfer to platform
   capitalism means that these enterprises – which employ hundreds of millions
   of people in a geographically dispersed manner – will be liquidated and the
   platform firms that are more productive and efficient – who employ less
   people and in geographically concentrated areas – will overcome them.

[image: Gauri Gill, Untitled (32) from the series Acts of Appearance, 2015.]

Gauri Gill <http://www.gaurigill.com/>, *Untitled (32) *from the series *Acts
of Appearance*, 2015.

   1. *The restoration of gender hierarchies*. Stay at home orders have
   impacted the division of labour inside the family, with widespread reports
   of the deepening of women’s burdens around housework and childcare. All
   socialised forms that have lightened this work – such as public education,
   childcare centres, and meals eaten out – have been annulled. The
   unimaginative approach to education – in which mothers have been forced to
   help bridge the digital divide – will leads to years of lost education and
   increase the pressure on women to forgo their work for reproductive labour.
   Women in the care economy – including in health care – report that their
   concerns over the lack of childcare, poor pay for care work, and poor
   protections for the workers, as well as massive layoffs and understaffing
   in the care economy, have put increased pressure on women workers. Finally,
   a reported increase in violence against women is a direct consequence of
   the Great Lockdown; no real policy framework has been adopted to address
   this issue. All of this reinforces patriarchal gender hierarchies.

[image: Oeur Sokuntevy (Cambodia), Upside Down, 2017.]

Oeur Sokuntevy (Cambodia), *Upside Down*, 2017.

   1. *The attack on democracy*. Under cover of the Great Lockdown,
   governments with formal commitments to bourgeois democracy have taken the
   opportunity to erode basic rights. In India, for instance, the government
   has withdrawn labour protections and increased the working day; in Brazil
   and South Africa, we see evidence of evictions of the poorest workers and
   peasants from their homes. From Bolivia to Thailand, we see coups
   sanctified and elections delayed. The murders of political activists from
   Colombia to South Africa and the imprisonment of dissenters from India to
   Palestine continue. Without setting democratic institutions completely
   aside, these governments suffocate democratic processes by using the
   democratic institutions.

[image: Raquel Forner (Argentina), Darkness, 1943.]

Raquel Forner (Argentina), *Darkness*, 1943.

   1. *The use of the environmental crisis to save capitalism*. Even as the
   pandemic suggests the need to rethink the destructive capitalist relations,
   which have damaged the metabolism that holds the balance between humans and
   nature, there has been a mechanism to reduce the ‘environmental crisis’ to
   ‘climate change’ and to offer ‘green capitalism’ or – to be more precise –
   the ‘Green New Deal’ as the salvation to the crisis. This Green New Deal is
   simply the use of public money to underwrite the transition of private
   energy firms from carbon to renewable fuels with no concern for the miners
   of cobalt, lithium, and other minerals needed for the batteries and screens
   of green technology. There is a need to advance the debate about the
   environmental crisis by bringing in the wider issues of agrarian reform,
   the transfer
   <https://newleftreview.org/issues/II123/articles/sharachchandra-lele-environment-and-well-being>
   of productive assets to the public sector, and a deeper debate about the
   energy transition. Calculations suggest that capitalism requires something
   like 3% growth for normal functioning, which means that the size of the
   global economy must double every 25 years. The planet cannot sustain such
   exponential growth.

[image: Jave Yoshimoto (Japan), Evanescent Encounter, 2010.]

Jave Yoshimoto (Japan), *Evanescent Encounter*, 2010.

   1. *The use of the crisis to attack china*. The deepened aggression from
   the US government towards China has opened a new set of challenges for the
   world. What began as a trade dispute in the 1990s has now escalated into
   what can only be described as the United States making an existential
   challenge against China. This threat against China by the totality of the
   US ruling class is made not for irrational reasons but for perfectly
   rational ones: first, that the US correctly sees that the Chinese economy
   is slowly going to become the largest in the world, and second, that the
   various hybrid war strategies to weaken or overthrow the Chinese government
   are simply not sufficient to stop China from eclipsing the US’ current
   stronghold on the world order. *The only means at the disposal of US
   imperialism is armed force.* Short of armed action, which is a genuine
   threat, the United States is attempting to undermine China’s role in the
   world economy; this is going to be very difficult to accomplish, although
   the US ruling class understands that it would be willing to suffer
   short-term disruptions for long-term hegemony. There is a need to stand
   against a new cold war and join the movement around the statement
   <https://www.nocoldwar.org/statement> proposed by the No Cold War
   platform.

[image: Mo Yi (China), Red, 1985.]

Mo Yi (China), *Red*, 1985.

Despite the dangerous incompetence of the bourgeois governments, their
legitimacy has not automatically eroded. They remain in power and appear
poised to deepen their authority.

Amongst those who have been arrested is Varavara Rao, the Indian Communist
poet, who is now unwell in prison. In 1990, he imagined the arrest of a
communist like himself in his poem ‘The Other Day’, whose lines suggest the
unfairness of the system that diminishes our humanity,

*Property*
*Fractures the human world*
*Into custodians and criminals.*

Far better to be a criminal in this world than to be a custodian of
inhumanity.

Warmly, Vijay.
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