[News] Donald Trump’s Final Act: Snuffing Out the Promise of Democracy in the Middle East

[Anti-Imperialist News]

https://www.counterpunch.org/2020/12/18/donald-trumps-final-act-snuffing-out-the-promise-of-democracy-in-the-middle-east/
Donald
Trump’s Final Act: Snuffing Out the Promise of Democracy in the Middle East
by Vijay Prashad - December 18, 2020
------------------------------

Photograph by Nathaniel St. Clair

Ten years ago, a hawker in Tunisia set himself on fire, which spurred
<https://www.ucpress.edu/book/9780520293267/the-death-of-the-nation-and-the-future-of-the-arab-revolution>
on people along the entire Mediterranean Sea—from Morocco to Spain—to rise
up in revolt. They took to their squares indignant at the terrible
conditions in which they had to make their lives.

Little of their agenda has been advanced in the past decade. Governments of
the southern European states have one by one betrayed the aspirations of
the people; the most dramatic such failure was of the Syriza government in
Greece, which won a mandate against austerity and then surrendered
<https://newleftreview.org/issues/ii97/articles/stathis-kouvelakis-syriza-s-rise-and-fall>
before the troika (the European Central Bank, the European Commission, and
the International Monetary Fund) in 2015.

Uprisings in northern Africa ended with the return of the generals (as in
Egypt
<https://mronline.org/2017/03/01/egypt-2016-who-was-worse-mubarak-morsi-or-sisi/>),
the destruction of states (as in Libya
<https://peoplesdispatch.org/2020/07/21/time-is-not-on-our-side-in-libya/>),
and the assertion of the Arab monarchies (from Morocco to Saudi Arabia
<https://www.counterpunch.org/2012/04/26/washington-bets-on-the-gulf-royals/>
).

A decade later, U.S. President Donald Trump carved the obituary on the
tombstone of that “Arab Spring” rebellion when he used the immensity of
U.S. power to strengthen
<https://www.reuters.com/article/us-israel-emirates-trump-deal/trump-scores-diplomatic-deal-with-middle-east-allies-before-election-idUSKCN2592XW>
U.S. allies—such as the Arab monarchies and Israel—to the detriment of the
people of the region.

What remains of the Arab Spring is a distant memory of the crowds in
Cairo’s Tahrir Square; a better image of the present is that of the
monarchs of Morocco and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) kissing up to Israel
to please the United States.

*Danger in the Eastern Mediterranean*

In the Arabic-speaking countries, two sets of conflicts emerged as the
people in the public plazas shook up the politics in their countries. The
first was between Iran and the Gulf Arab monarchies (led by Saudi Arabia
and the UAE). This had a catastrophic impact on Lebanon and on Syria. The
second was the conflict between the countries with affinity to the Muslim
Brotherhood (Qatar and Turkey) and the Gulf Arab monarchies. Both
conflicts, inflamed by Israel, continue to threaten regional wars.

It was under pressure from Saudi Arabia and Israel that the United States
concocted a “nuclear threat” from Iran and drove an agenda that resulted in
the 2015 Iran deal
<https://www.commondreams.org/views/2019/06/25/hybrid-war-against-iran>.
Several of the Iranian nuclear scientists were, meanwhile, assassinated
from 2010 to the present; Iran blames
<https://en.mehrnews.com/news/166611/Very-clear-Israel-ordered-the-assassination-of-Fakhrizadeh>
Israel and the United States for these killings. Sanctions and threats of
military intervention have now almost become normal. The gravity of this
conflict is undiminished and will not decrease even if U.S.
Presidential-elect Joe Biden returns his country to the framework of the
nuclear deal.

More sinister has been the deepening conflict against Qatar, but especially
Turkey. In 2017, Saudi Arabia and its allies began a blockade against
Qatar; the animosity is so great that Saudi Arabia planned
<https://mubasher.aljazeera.net/news/politics/2018/04/07/%D9%82%D9%86%D8%A7%D8%A9-%D8%B3%D9%84%D9%88%D9%89-%D9%85%D8%AE%D8%B7%D8%B7-%D8%B3%D8%B9%D9%88%D8%AF%D9%8A-%D8%AC%D8%AF%D9%8A%D8%AF-%D9%84%D8%AA%D8%B9%D8%B2%D9%8A%D8%B2-%D8%AD%D8%B5%D8%A7%D8%B1>
to cut the landmass around Qatar and convert it into an island.

Both the Gulf Arabs and the Europeans were disturbed
<https://www.ucpress.edu/book/9780520293267/the-death-of-the-nation-and-the-future-of-the-arab-revolution>
by Turkey’s influence over the new governments across North Africa. They
colluded to overthrow the Muslim Brotherhood government in Egypt in 2013
and to prosecute a war in Libya against Turkish influence over the
UN-recognized government in Tripoli.

The discovery of massive natural gas fields in the eastern Mediterranean in
2009 changed
<https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/comment/why-offshore-gas-in-the-eastern-mediterranean-has-a-complicated-road-ahead-1.1033237>
the equation of old rivalries in the area, particularly between Israel and
its neighbors, and between Turkey and Greece over Cyprus. In the past
decade, alliances across the Mediterranean have cemented around control
over these gas fields. Maps with conflicting claims have been published,
and near-military conflicts have been hard to avert. Turkish arming of
troops in Libya gave both French
<https://www.sabah.com.tr/yazarlar/hilalkaplan/2020/06/24/erdogan-macronu-nasil-aglatti>
(June 2020) and German
<https://www.yenicaggazetesi.com.tr/alman-askerleri-libyada-turk-kargo-gemisine-cikti-buyuk-skandal-ankaradan-jet-nota-317484h.htm>
(November 2020) ships the opportunity to try to board Turkish vessels. The
European Union threatened to put harsh sanctions against Turkey at its
summit on December 10-11, but then decided
<https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/meetings/european-council/2020/12/10-11/>
to put off any decision on sanctions until the next meeting in March 2021.

France, which has exerted
<https://www.humanite.fr/afrique-limpossible-mission-barkhane-au-sahel-680964>
itself south of the Sahara Desert in the Sahel region, has now strengthened
its links to the countries that stand against Turkey. Arms deals
<https://www.capital.fr/economie-politique/la-grece-commande-des-rafale-a-la-france-sous-fond-de-tensions-avec-la-turquie-1380294>
with Greece have come alongside military exercises with Egypt and with the
UAE (the MEDUSA
<https://www.defense.gouv.fr/actualites/international/mediterranee-orientale-fin-d-exercice-medusa-10-pour-l-aconit>
exercises that include Cyprus and Greece). France’s Emmanuel Macron honored
<https://www.lefigaro.fr/flash-actu/le-president-sissi-a-recu-la-plus-haute-distinction-francaise-a-paris-20201210>
Egypt’s President (a former general) Abdel Fattah el-Sisi with France’s
highest award.

When U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo visited France in November, he
complained
<https://www.lefigaro.fr/international/mike-pompeo-on-nous-a-accuses-de-nous-retirer-du-monde-c-est-l-exact-contraire-20201116>
to Le Figaro about Turkey’s actions in the eastern Mediterranean. During
his visit to Turkey after France, Pompeo avoided
<https://www.birgun.net/haber/pompeo-turkiye-de-bolgeye-gelip-gorusme-yapmadigi-ucuncu-ziyaret-323261>
senior Turkish officials. The snub was clear. Israel, backed by the U.S.,
has now announced
<https://www.timesofisrael.com/israel-greece-and-cyprus-agree-to-boost-defense-cooperation/>
that it will increase military cooperation with Cyprus and Greece.

Turkey, meanwhile, has increased its cooperation with Russia
and—interestingly—with the United Kingdom, increasingly alienated from the
Europeans by its spluttering Brexit negotiations.

*Crushing of Palestine, Western Sahara, and Yemen*

Trump has proposed a hallucinatory “deal
<https://www.whitehouse.gov/peacetoprosperity/> of the century” that
promised to sort out the long-standing occupation of the Palestinians by
Israel. Nothing of the sort has been accomplished. What Trump and Pompeo
have done instead is to discard a series of UN resolutions to hand Israel
many of its maximum demands on a platter.

An early gesture was the announcement that the U.S. embassy would move
<https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/president-donald-j-trump-keeps-promise-open-u-s-embassy-jerusalem-israel/>
from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem; then came the nod for the possible full-scale
annexation
<https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/president-donald-j-trumps-vision-peace-prosperity-brighter-future-israel-palestinian-people/>
of East Jerusalem and the West Bank by Israel and U.S. recognition
<https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/proclamation-recognizing-golan-heights-part-state-israel/>
of the Israeli occupation of Syria’s Golan Heights. The U.S. threw around
favors—such as sales
<https://apnews.com/article/israel-united-arab-emirates-middle-east-bills-mike-pompeo-f6e113dc6ff35d344270da4e900e9f32>
of $23 billion of arms to the UAE and the removal
<https://www.facebook.com/khartoum.usembassy/posts/4333790849998794> of
Sudan from the list of state sponsors of terrorism—to gain their public
recognition of Israel. These weapons—particularly the F-35s—sold to the UAE
allow the Gulf Arabs to continue their cruel war against Yemen.

Then, almost out of nowhere, the U.S. recognized
<https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2020/12/14/isra-d14.html> the Moroccan
occupation of Western Sahara in exchange for Morocco’s recognition of
Israel and for the Moroccan king buying $1 billion worth of arms from the
United States. This deal was brokered by the UAE.

The hopes of the Palestinian, Sahrawi and Yemeni people have been seriously
compromised by these cynical deals.

*Cynical Times*

Recently, I’ve spent time on the phone with friends with whom I walked the
length of the Arab Spring. There is little to celebrate. Friends were
killed from Syria to Libya, while others remain in prison in Egypt. Great
hopes have been set aside. Old cynicisms have returned, the cynicisms of
arms deals and of energy deals, the cynicism of brutality.

*Vijay Prashad’s most recent book is No Free Left: The Futures of Indian
Communism (New Delhi: LeftWord Books, 2015).*
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