[News] Venezuela - The 12-Step Method of Regime Change

Anti-Imperialist News news at freedomarchives.org
Tue Feb 5 10:22:28 EST 2019


https://www.counterpunch.org/2019/02/05/the-12-step-method-of-regime-change/ 



  The 12-Step Method of Regime Change

by Vijay Prashad <https://www.counterpunch.org/author/drespu/> - 
February 5, 2019
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On 15 September 1970, US President Richard Nixon and National Security 
Advisor Henry Kissinger authorised the US government to do everything 
possible to undermine the incoming government of the socialist president 
of Chile, Salvador Allende. Nixon and Kissinger, according to the notes 
kept by CIA Director Richard Helms, wanted to ‘make the economy scream’ 
in Chile; they were ‘not concerned [about the] risks involved’. War was 
acceptable to them as long as Allende’s government was removed from 
power. The CIA started Project FUBELT, with $10 million as a first 
instalment to begin the covert destabilisation of the country.

US business firms, such as the telecommunication giant ITT, the soft 
drink maker Pepsi Cola and copper monopolies such as Anaconda and 
Kennecott, put pressure on the US government once Allende nationalised 
the copper sector on 11 July 1971. Chileans celebrated this day as the 
Day of National Dignity (Dia de la Dignidad Nacional). The CIA began to 
make contact with sections of the military seen to be against Allende. 
Three years later, on 11 September 1973, these military men moved 
against Allende, who died in the regime change operation. The US 
‘created the conditions’ as US National Security Advisor Henry Kissinger 
put it, to which US President Richard Nixon answered, ‘that is the way 
it is going to be played’. Such is the mood of international gangsterism.

Chile entered the dark night of a military dictatorship that turned over 
the country to US monopoly firms. US advisors rushed in to strengthen 
the nerve of General Augusto Pinochet’s cabinet.

What happened to Chile in 1973 is precisely what the United States has 
attempted to do in many other countries of the Global South. The most 
recent target for the US government – and Western big business – is 
Venezuela. But what is happening to Venezuela is nothing unique. It 
faces an onslaught from the United States and its allies that is 
familiar to countries as far afield as Indonesia and the Democratic 
Republic of Congo. The formula is clichéd. It is commonplace, a 
twelve-step plan to produce a coup climate, to create a world under the 
heel of the West and of Western big business.

*Step One: Colonialism’s Traps.*

Most of the Global South remains trapped by the structures put in place 
by colonialism. Colonial boundaries encircled states that had the 
misfortune of being single commodity producers – either sugar for Cuba 
or oil for Venezuela. The inability to diversify their economies meant 
that these countries earned the bulk of their export revenues from their 
singular commodities (98% of Venezuela’s export revenues come from oil). 
As long as the prices of the commodities remained high, the export 
revenues were secure. When the prices fell, revenue suffered. This was a 
legacy of colonialism. Oil prices dropped from $160.72 per barrel (June 
2008) to $51.99 per barrel (January 2019). Venezuela’s export revenues 
collapsed in this decade.

Step Two: The Defeat of the New International Economic Order. In 1974, 
the countries of the Global South attempted to redo the architecture of 
the world economy. They called for the creation of a New International 
Economic Order (NIEO) that would allow them to pivot away from the 
colonial reliance upon one commodity and diversify their economies. 
Cartels of raw materials – such as oil and bauxite – were to be built so 
that the one-commodity country could have some control over prices of 
the products that they relied upon. The Organisation of Petroleum 
Exporting Countries (OPEC), founded in 1960, was a pioneer of these 
commodity cartels. Others were not permitted to be formed. With the 
defeat of OPEC over the past three decades, its members – such as 
Venezuela (which has the world’s largest proven oil reserves) – have not 
been able to control oil prices. They are at the mercy of the powerful 
countries of the world.

*Step Three: The Death of Southern Agriculture. *

In November 2001, there were about three billion small farmers and 
landless peasants in the world. That month, the World Trade Organisation 
met in Doha (Qatar) to unleash the productivity of Northern 
agri-business against the billions of small farmers and landless 
peasants of the Global South. Mechanisation and large, industrial-scale 
farms in North America and Europe had raised productivity to about 1 to 
2 million kilogrammes of cereals per farmer. The small farmers and 
landless peasants in the rest of the world struggled to grow 1,000 
kilogrammes of cereals per farmer. They were nowhere near as productive. 
The Doha decision, as Samir Amin wrote 
<https://monthlyreview.org/2003/10/01/world-poverty-pauperization-capital-accumulation/?utm_source=Tricontinental+English&utm_campaign=8c9cb1b47e-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_01_02_25&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_9fbe436b65-8c9cb1b47e-83955073>, 
presages the annihilation of the small farmer and landless peasant. What 
are these men and women to do? The production per hectare is higher in 
the West, but the corporate take-over of agriculture (as Tricontinental: 
Institute for Social Research Senior Fellow P. Sainath shows) leads to 
increased hunger as it pushes peasants off their land and leaves them to 
starve.

*Step Four: Culture of Plunder.*

Emboldened by Western domination, monopoly firms act with disregard for 
the law. As Kambale Musavuli and I write 
<https://www.pressenza.com/2019/01/how-todays-crisis-in-the-congo-began/?utm_source=Tricontinental+English&utm_campaign=8c9cb1b47e-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_01_02_25&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_9fbe436b65-8c9cb1b47e-83955073> 
of the Democratic Republic of Congo, its annual budget of $6 billion is 
routinely robbed of at least $500 by monopoly mining firms, mostly from 
Canada – the country now leading the charge against Venezuela. 
Mispricing and tax avoidance schemes allow these large firms (Canada’s 
Agrium, Barrick and Suncor) to routinely steal billions of dollars from 
impoverished states.

*Step Five: Debt as a Way of Life. *

Unable to raise money from commodity sales, hemmed in by a broken world 
agricultural system and victim of a culture of plunder, countries of the 
Global South have been forced to go hat in hand to commercial lenders 
for finance. Over the past decade, debt held by the Global South states 
has increased, while debt payments have ballooned by 60%. When commodity 
prices rose between 2000 and 2010, debt in the Global South decreased. 
As commodity prices began to fall from 2010, debts have risen. The IMF 
points out that of the 67 impoverished countries that they follow, 30 
are in debt distress, a number that has doubled since 2013. More than 
55.4% of Angola’s export revenue is paid to service its debt. And 
Angola, like Venezuela, is an oil exporter. Other oil exporters such as 
Ghana, Chad, Gabon and Venezuela suffer high debt to GDP ratios. Two out 
of five low-income countries are in deep financial distress.

*Step Six: Public Finances Go to Hell. *

With little incoming revenue and low tax collection rates, public 
finances in the Global South has gone into crisis. As the UN Conference 
on Trade and Development points out, ‘public finances have continued to 
be suffocated’. States simply cannot put together the funds needed to 
maintain basic state functions. Balanced budget rules make borrowing 
difficult, which is compounded by the fact that banks charge high rates 
for money, citing the risks of lending to indebted countries.

*Step Seven: Deep Cuts in Social Spending*.

Impossible to raise funds, trapped by the fickleness of international 
finance, governments are forced to make deep cuts in social spending. 
Education and health, food sovereignty and economic diversification – 
all this goes by the wayside. International agencies such as the IMF 
force countries to conduct ‘reforms’, a word that means extermination of 
independence. Those countries that hold out face immense international 
pressure to submit under pain of extinction, as the Communist Manifesto 
(1848) put it.

*Step Eight: Social Distress Leads to Migration. *

The total number of migrants in the world is now at least 68.5 million. 
That makes the country called Migration the 21st largest country in the 
world after Thailand and ahead of the United Kingdom. Migration has 
become a global reaction to the collapse of countries from one end of 
the planet to the other. The migration out of Venezuela is not unique to 
that country but is now merely the normal reaction to the global crisis. 
Migrants from Honduras who go northward to the United States or migrants 
from West Africa who go towards Europe through Libya are part of this 
global exodus.

*Step Nine: Who Controls the Narrative? *

The monopoly corporate media takes its orders from the elite. There is 
no sympathy for the structural crisis faced by governments from 
Afghanistan to Venezuela. Those leaders who cave to Western pressure are 
given a free pass by the media. As long as they conduct ‘reforms’, they 
are safe. Those countries that argue against the ‘reforms’ are 
vulnerable to being attacked. Their leaders become ‘dictators’, their 
people hostages. A contested election in Bangladesh or in the Democratic 
Republic of Congo or in the United States is not cause for regime 
change. That special treatment is left for Venezuela.

*Step Ten: Who’s the Real President? *

Regime change operations begin when the imperialists question the 
legitimacy of the government in power: by putting the weight of the 
United States behind an unelected person, calling him the new president 
and creating a situation where the elected leader’s authority is 
undermined. The coup takes place when a powerful country decides – 
without an election – to anoint its own proxy. That person – in 
Venezuela’s case Juan Guaidó – rapidly has to make it clear that he will 
bend to the authority of the United States. His kitchen cabinet – made 
up of former government officials with intimate ties to the US (such as 
Harvard University’s Ricardo Hausmann and Carnegie’s Moisés Naím) – will 
make it clear that they want to privatise everything and sell out the 
Venezuelan people in the name of the Venezuelan people.

*Step Eleven: Make the Economy Scream. *

Venezuela has faced harsh US sanctions since 2014, when the US Congress 
started down this road. The next year, US President Barack Obama 
declared Venezuela a ‘threat to national security’. The economy started 
to scream. In recent days, the United States and the United Kingdom 
brazenly stole billions of dollars of Venezuelan money, placed the 
shackles of sanctions on its only revenue generating sector (oil) and 
watched the pain flood through the country. This is what the US did to 
Iran and this is what they did to Cuba. The UN says that the US 
sanctions on Cuba have cost the small island $130 billion. Venezuela 
lost $6 billion for the first year of Trump’s sanctions, since they 
began in August 2017. More is to be lost as the days unfold. No wonder 
that the United Nations Special Rapporteur Idriss Jazairy says that 
‘sanctions which can lead to starvation and medical shortages are not 
the answer to the crisis in Venezuela’. He said that sanctions are ‘not 
a foundation for the peaceful settlement of disputes’. Further, Jazairy 
said, ‘I am especially concerned to hear reports that these sanctions 
are aimed at changing the government of Venezuela’. He called for 
‘compassion’ for the people of Venezuela.

*Step Twelve: Go to War. *

US National Security Advisor John Bolton held a yellow pad with the 
words 5,000 troops in Colombia written on it. These are US troops, 
already deployed in Venezuela’s neighbour. The US Southern Command is 
ready. They are egging on Colombia and Brazil to do their bit. As the 
coup climate is created, a nudge will be necessary. They will go to war.

None of this is inevitable. It was not inevitable to Titina Silá, a 
commander of the Partido Africano para a Independència da Guiné e Cabo 
Verde (PAIGC) who was murdered on 30 January 1973. She fought to free 
her country. It is not inevitable to the people of Venezuela, who 
continue to fight to defend their revolution. It is not inevitable to 
our friends at CodePink: Women for Peace, whose Medea Benjamin walked 
into a meeting of the Organisation of American States and said – No!

It is time to say No to regime change intervention. There is no middle 
ground.

/*Vijay Prashad’s* most recent book is No Free Left: The Futures of 
Indian Communism (New Delhi: LeftWord Books, 2015)./

-- 
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