[News] The Obama Administration Has Brokered More Weapons Sales Than Any Other Administration Since World War II
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Wed Jul 27 11:06:16 EDT 2016
https://www.thenation.com/article/the-obama-administration-has-sold-more-weapons-than-any-other-administration-since-world-war-ii/
The Obama Administration Has Brokered More Weapons Sales Than Any
Other Administration Since World War II
By William D. Hartung - July 26, 2016
When American firms dominate a global market worth more than $70 billion
a year, you’d expect to hear about it. Not so with the global arms
trade. It’s good for one or two stories a year in the mainstream media,
usually when the annual statistics on the state of the business come out.
It’s not that no one writes about aspects of the arms trade. There are
occasional pieces that, for example, take note of the impact of US
weapons transfers, including cluster bombs, to Saudi Arabia, or of the
disastrous dispensation of weaponry to US allies in Syria, or of foreign
sales of the costly, controversial F-35 combat aircraft. And once in a
while, if a foreign leader meets with the president, US arms sales to
his or her country might generate an article or two. But the sheer size
of the American arms trade, the politics that drive it, the companies
that profit from it, and its devastating global impacts are rarely
discussed, much less analyzed in any depth.
So here’s a question that’s puzzled me for years (and I’m something of
an arms wonk): Why do other major US exports—from Hollywood movies to
Midwestern grain shipments to Boeing airliners—garner regular coverage
while trends in weapons exports remain in relative obscurity? Are we
ashamed of standing essentially alone as the world’s number one arms
dealer, or is our Weapons “R” Us role such a commonplace that we take it
for granted, like death or taxes?
The numbers should stagger anyone. According to the latest figures
available from the Congressional Research Service, the United States was
credited with more than half the value of all global arms transfer
agreements in 2014, the most recent year for which full statistics are
available. At 14 percent, the world’s second largest supplier, Russia,
lagged far behind. Washington’s “leadership” in this field has never
truly been challenged. The US share has fluctuated between one-third and
one-half of the global market for the past two decades, peaking at an
almost monopolistic 70 percent of all weapons sold in 2011. And the gold
rush continues. Vice Admiral Joe Rixey, who heads the Pentagon’s arms
sales agency, euphemistically known as the Defense Security Cooperation
Agency, estimates that arms deals facilitated by the Pentagon topped $46
billion in 2015, and are on track to hit $40 billion in 2016.
To be completely accurate, there is one group of people who pay
remarkably close attention to these trends—executives of the defense
contractors that are cashing in on this growth market. With the Pentagon
and related agencies taking in “only” about $600 billion a year—high by
historical standards but tens of billions of dollars less than hoped for
by the defense industry—companies like Lockheed Martin, Raytheon, and
General Dynamics have been looking to global markets as their major
source of new revenue.
In a January 2015 investor call, for example, Lockheed Martin CEO
Marillyn Hewson was asked whether the Iran nuclear deal brokered by the
Obama administration and five other powers might reduce tensions in the
Middle East, undermining the company’s strategy of increasing its arms
exports to the region. She responded that continuing “volatility” in
both the Middle East and Asia would make them “growth areas” for the
foreseeable future. In other words, no worries. As long as the world
stays at war or on the verge of it, Lockheed Martin’s profits won’t
suffer—and, of course, its products will help ensure that any such
“volatility” will prove lethal indeed.
Under Hewson, Lockheed has set a goal of getting at least 25 percent of
its revenues from weapons exports, and Boeing has done that company one
better. It’s seeking to make overseas arms sales 30 percent of its
business.
Good News From the Middle East (If You’re an Arms Maker)
Arms deals are a way of life in Washington. From the president on down,
significant parts of the government are intent on ensuring that American
arms will flood the global market and companies like Lockheed and Boeing
will live the good life. From the president on his trips abroad to visit
allied world leaders to the secretaries of state and defense to the
staffs of US embassies, American officials regularly act as salespeople
for the arms firms. And the Pentagon is their enabler. From brokering,
facilitating, and literally banking the money from arms deals to
transferring weapons to favored allies on the taxpayers’ dime, it is in
essence the world’s largest arms dealer.
In a typical sale, the US government is involved every step of the way.
The Pentagon often does assessments of an allied nation’s armed forces
in order to tell them what they “need”—and of course what they always
need is billions of dollars in new US-supplied equipment. Then the
Pentagon helps negotiate the terms of the deal, notifies Congress of its
details, and collects the funds from the foreign buyer, which it then
gives to the US supplier in the form of a defense contract. In most
deals, the Pentagon is also the point of contact for maintenance and
spare parts for any US-supplied system. The bureaucracy that helps make
all of this happen, the Defense Security Cooperation Agency, is funded
from a 3.5 percent surcharge on the deals it negotiates. This gives it
all the more incentive to sell, sell, sell.
And the pressure for yet more of the same is always intense, in part
because the weapons makers are careful to spread their production
facilities to as many states and localities as possible. In this way,
they ensure that endless support for government promotion of major arms
sales becomes part and parcel of domestic politics.
General Dynamics, for instance, has managed to keep its tank plants in
Ohio and Michigan running through a combination of add-ons to the Army
budget—funds inserted into that budget by Congress even though the
Pentagon didn’t request them—and exports to Saudi Arabia. Boeing is
banking on a proposed deal to sell 40 F-18s to Kuwait to keep its St.
Louis production line open, and is currently jousting with the Obama
administration to get it to move more quickly on the deal. Not
surprisingly, members of Congress and local business leaders in such
states become strong supporters of weapons exports.
Though seldom thought of this way, the US political system is also a
global arms distribution system of the first order. In this context, the
Obama administration has proven itself a good friend to arms exporting
firms. During President Obama’s first six years in office, Washington
entered into agreements to sell more than $190 billion in weaponry
worldwide—more, that is, than any US administration since World War II.
In addition, Team Obama has loosened restrictions on arms exports,
making it possible to send abroad a whole new range of weapons and
weapons components—including Black Hawk and Huey helicopters and engines
for C-17 transport planes—with far less scrutiny than was previously
required.
This has been good news for the industry, which had been pressing for
such changes for decades with little success. But the weaker regulations
also make it potentially easier for arms smugglers and human rights
abusers to get their hands on US arms. For example, 36 US allies—from
Argentina and Bulgaria to Romania and Turkey—will no longer need
licenses from the State Department to import weapons and weapons parts
from the United States. This will make it far easier for smuggling
networks to set up front companies in such countries and get US arms and
arms components that they can then pass on to third parties like Iran or
China. Already a common practice, it will only increase under the new
regulations.
The degree to which the Obama administration has been willing to bend
over backward to help weapons exporters was underscored at a 2013
hearing on those administration export “reforms.” Tom Kelly, then the
deputy assistant secretary of the State Department’s Bureau of
Political-Military Affairs, caught the spirit of the era when asked
whether the administration was doing enough to promote American arms
exports. He responded:
“[We are] advocating on behalf of our companies and doing everything we
can to make sure that these sales go through… and that is something we
are doing every day, basically [on] every continent in the world… and
we’re constantly thinking of how we can do better.”
One place where, with a helping hand from the Obama administration and
the Pentagon, the arms industry has been doing a lot better of late is
the Middle East. Washington has brokered deals for more than $50 billion
in weapons sales to Saudi Arabia alone for everything from F-15 fighter
aircraft and Apache attack helicopters to combat ships and missile
defense systems.
The most damaging deals, if not the most lucrative, have been the sales
of bombs and missiles to the Saudis for their brutal war in Yemen, where
thousands of civilians have been killed and millions of people are going
hungry. Members of Congress like Michigan Representative John Conyers
and Connecticut Senator Chris Murphy have pressed for legislation that
would at least stem the flow of the most deadly of the weaponry being
sent for use there, but they have yet to overcome the considerable clout
of the Saudis in Washington (and, of course, that of the arms industry
as well).
When it comes to the arms business, however, there’s no end to the good
news from the Middle East. Take the administration’s proposed new
10-year aid deal with Israel. If enacted as currently planned, it would
boost US military assistance to that country by up to 25 percent—to
roughly $4 billion per year. At the same time, it would phase out a
provision that had allowed Israel to spend one-quarter of Washington’s
aid developing its own defense industry. In other words, all that money,
the full $4 billion in taxpayer dollars, will now flow directly into the
coffers of companies like Lockheed Martin, which is in the midst of
completing a multi-billion-dollar deal to sell the Israelis F-35s.
“Volatility” in Asia and Europe
As Lockheed Martin’s Marillyn Hewson noted, however, the Middle East is
hardly the only growth area for that firm or others like it. The dispute
between China and its neighbors over the control of the South China Sea
(which is in many ways an incipient conflict over whether that country
or the United States will control that part of the Pacific Ocean) has
opened up new vistas when it comes to the sale of American warships and
other military equipment to Washington’s East Asian allies. The recent
Hague court decision rejecting Chinese claims to those waters (and the
Chinese rejection of it) is only likely to increase the pace of arms
buying in the region.
At the same time, in the good-news-never-ends department, growing fears
of North Korea’s nuclear program have stoked a demand for US-supplied
missile defense systems. The South Koreans have, in fact, just agreed to
deploy Lockheed Martin’s THAAD anti-missile system. In addition, the
Obama administration’s decision to end the longstanding embargo on US
arms sales to Vietnam is likely to open yet another significant market
for US firms. In the past two years alone, the United States has offered
more than $15 billion worth of weaponry to allies in East Asia, with
Taiwan, Japan, and South Korea accounting for the bulk of the sales.
In addition, the Obama administration has gone to great lengths to build
a defense relationship with India, a development guaranteed to benefit
US arms exporters. Last year, Washington and New Delhi signed a 10-year
defense agreement that included pledges of future joint work on aircraft
engines and aircraft carrier designs. In these years, the United States
has made significant inroads into the Indian arms market, which had
traditionally been dominated by the Soviet Union and then Russia. Recent
deals include a $5.8 billion sale of Boeing C-17 transport aircraft and
a $1.4 billion agreement to provide support services related to a
planned purchase of Apache attack helicopters.
And don’t forget “volatile” Europe. Great Britain’s recent Brexit vote
introduced an uncertainty factor into American arms exports to that
country. The United Kingdom has been by far the biggest purchaser of US
weapons in Europe of late, with more than $6 billion in deals struck
over the past two years alone—more, that is, than the United States has
sold to all other European countries combined.
The British defense behemoth BAE is Lockheed Martin’s principal foreign
partner on the F-35 combat aircraft, which at a projected cost of $1.4
trillion over its lifetime already qualifies as the most expensive
weapons program in history. If Brexit-driven austerity were to lead to a
delay in, or the cancellation of, the F-35 deal (or any other major
weapons shipments), it would be a blow to American arms makers. But
count on one thing: were there to be even a hint that this might happen
to the F-35, lobbyists for BAE will mobilize to get the deal privileged
status, whatever other budget cuts may be in the works.
On the bright side (if you happen to be a weapons maker), any British
reductions will certainly be more than offset by opportunities in
Eastern and Central Europe, where a new Cold War seems to be gaining
traction. Between 2014 and 2015, according to the Stockholm
International Peace Research Institute, military spending increased by
13 percent in the region in response to the Russian intervention in
Ukraine. The rise in Poland’s outlays, at 22 percent, was particularly
steep.
Under the circumstances, it should be obvious that trends in the global
arms trade are a major news story and should be dealt with as such in
the country most responsible for putting more weapons of a more powerful
nature into the hands of those living in “volatile” regions. It’s a
monster business (in every sense of the word) and certainly has far more
dangerous consequences than licensing a Hollywood blockbuster or selling
another Boeing airliner.
Historically, there have been rare occasions of public protest against
unbridled arms trafficking, as with the backlash against “the merchants
of death” after World War I, or the controversy over who armed Saddam
Hussein that followed the 1991 Persian Gulf War. Even now, small numbers
of congressional representatives, including John Conyers, Chris Murphy,
and Kentucky Senator Rand Paul, continue to try to halt the sale of
cluster munitions, bombs, and missiles to Saudi Arabia.
There is, however, unlikely to be a genuine public debate about the
value of the arms business and Washington’s place in it if it isn’t even
considered a subject worthy of more than an occasional media story. In
the meantime, the United States continues to hold onto the number one
role in the global arms trade, the White House does its part, the
Pentagon greases the wheels, and the dollars roll in to profit-hungry US
weapons contractors.
--
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