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Fri Jan 28 11:35:46 EST 2011



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DR. ASHRAF EZZAT:THE DOWNFALL OF MUBARAK OF EGYPT

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27. Jan, 
2011<http://www.intifada-palestine.com/2011/01/dr-ashraf-ezzatthe-downfall-of-mubarak-of-egypt/print/>
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What is happening now in Egypt is historic by all 
means and all parties involved should acknowledge 
that and deal with it as such.

By Dr. Ashraf Ezzat / from Alexandria, Egypt 
for<http://www.veteranstoday.com/2011/01/27/dr-ashraf-ezzatthe-downfall-of-mubarak-of-egypt/> 
Veterans Today


“Without beating around the bush or postponing or 
playing us for fools and without more false 
promises, we, the people of Egypt, demand all of 
our long forgotten rights to be granted and this 
time there is no turning back 
 we have learned 
our lesson 
we have finally broken free of all fears

 thus stated a written flier that has been 
circulating – by banned oppostion -all over major 
cities of Egypt in thousands of copies on the 
night before January, 25th or what is now known as the Egyptian day of wrath.

The flier contained a lot of economic and political demands amongst which;
    * Salaries and pensions increase that would 
cope up with the high prices and to include 
financial aid to the unemployed wide segment of the youth.
    * Cancel the law of emergency – that gives 
the government the right to abduct any citizen 
without need for any law warrant.
    * Egypt is no monarchy. 30 years are more 
than enough for Mubarak. He must go and his son 
Gamal- the probable successor or heir to his father’s presidency.
    * The dissolution of the current parliament- 
whose elections deemed fraudulent.
    * Fair and democratic parliamentary and presidential elections.
    * Ban Egyptian exports to Israel and mainly the Egyptian natural Gas.

The paper had been written in Arabic slang with a 
language that reflected a lot of spontaneity and 
simplicity, nevertheless, it managed to reflect 
how the Egyptians felt toward their current regime.

Egypt is ruled by an authoritarian and oppressive 
regime headed by Hosni Mubarak who has been in power for almost 30 years now.


Egypt under Mubarak’s regime

Egypt – once known amongst Arabs as the mother of 
the world- that used to be the leader nation of 
the Arab world during the presidency of late 
President 
<http://http//en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gamal_Abdel_Nasser>Nasser 
has turned during Mubarak’s reign into a shadowy 
and subordinate political entity.

The deeply rooted corruption of the Mubarak 
regime has turned one of the oldest agricultural 
societies on earth into one of the world’s biggest importers of wheat.

Mubarak’s agricultural cooperation with Israel 
has destroyed Egypt’s production of the world’s 
finest cotton to be replaced by fields of 
carcinogenic[i] fruits and vegetables.

Mubarak’s autocratic rule has never allowed the 
emergence of actively participating secular 
parties and free democratic elections.

The education and health care systems have 
dramatically declined during Mubarak’s regime.

Freedom of speech and demonstration has been 
widely denied and human rights have been violated.

Mubarak has been busy setting the stage for his 
son Gamal to take over the kingdom he thought was immune from mutiny.

On Tuesday thousands of ordinary Egyptians took 
to the streets – drived by years of oppression 
and not by any foreign agenda - chanting slogans 
calling for change and freedom.

Throughout the long history of Egypt its people 
seldom rallied in huge numbers except during the 
first half of the twentieth century when 
Egyptians were trying to liberate the country 
from the British colonialism and one 
unprecedented time when they spontaneously 
swarmed the streets in June 1967 denouncing 
president Nasser`s decision to resign following 
the setback brought about by the six -day war with Israel

Egyptian protestors and clashes with security

The security forces managed to disperse the 
nearly thirty thousands protestors who were going 
to stay afoot and spend the night of Tuesday at 
Tahrir square in Cairo but that did not deter 
them, they hit the streets again the following 
day despite the prosecution and the brutality of 
the police forces which began to be more 
aggressive and to even fire live ammunition at 
protestors especially at the city of Suez  [ii] 
whose citizens are putting up a courageous street 
to street fight with police forces.

Egypt could not be compared to Tunisia as far as 
the security and military apparatus is concerned. 
Egypt enjoys one of the biggest military and 
police forces in Africa and the Middle East. But 
Tunisia has to be given the credit for the domino 
effect that is sweeping across the Arab world now.

Mubarak – being a former military man – knows 
very well that he needs the support of the army 
and police forces to keep his reign safe and 
secure. That’s why he keeps himself surrounded by 
a close ring of loyal and strong men in the 
police and the military and that’s why the 
downfall of Mubarak won’t be an easy job nor without sacrifice.


The demise of 30 years of authoritarianism

The authoritarian regime of Mubarak has been so 
stunned and taken by surprise by the swift and 
abrupt uprising of the Egyptians; it failed to 
respond yet by any official statement to what has been happening.

One thing is sure now, Mubarak’s credibility has 
been shattered, he can no longer look in the eyes 
of any ordinary Egyptian, and to me, this is the 
clear sign of the end of his long and agonizing reign over Egypt.

What is characteristic of any Muslim Metropolis 
city like Cairo is the peak of crowd of people 
that fills the streets and mosques after 
<http://http//en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jumu%27ah>Friday 
prayers which often witness reference to the 
latest national events during its speech – 
khotbah- delivered by <http://http//en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Imam>imams.

Most of the historic demonstrations in Egypt – 
against the 
<http://http//en.wikipedia.org/wiki/French_Campaign_in_Egypt_and_Syria>French 
campaign (1789-1803) and against 
<http://http//www.touregypt.net/hbritish.htm>British 
occupation (1882-1936) erupted by people gathered 
after they had finished their assembly for Friday 
prayers at 
<http://http//en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Al-Azhar_Mosque>Al-Azhar 
mosque. Likewise, and keeping this legacy alive, 
free Egyptians are now calling for the assembly 
of around one million protestors next Friday to 
go on a never seen before rallies that will demand that Mubarak should go.

This political unrest in Egypt might take a 
while, the stubborn regime of Mubarak might buy 
some time and concede to some of the protestors 
demands, he might announce that this would be his 
last term in office and he might want to drive 
his son – as rumours say-out of the country but 
what is certain is that the downfall of Mubarak 
will be -if not next Friday- on any given Friday.

The Egyptian addiction to Authoritarianism is finally coming to an end.

For more posts by Dr. Ashraf Ezzat visit his 
website at: <http://ashraf62.wordpress.com/>http://ashraf62.wordpress.com/

Footnotes

[i] – 
<http://challahhuakbar.blogspot.com/2011/01/israel-sending-agricultural.html>http://challahhuakbar.blogspot.com/2011/01/israel-sending-agricultural.html

[ii] – 
<http://english.aljazeera.net/news/middleeast/2011/01/201112621340630620.html>http://english.aljazeera.net/news/middleeast/2011/01/201112621340630620.html

*************************************************
Interview with Hossam el-Hamalawy

Professor Mark LeVine interviews journalist and 
blogger Hossam el-Hamalawy on the situation in Egypt.
Mark LeVine Last Modified: 27 Jan 2011 13:07 GMT

Hossam el-Hamalawy, is an Egyptian journalist and 
blogger for the website 
<http://www.arabawy.org/>3arabawy. Mark LeVine, 
professor of History at UC Irvine, managed to 
catch up with Hossam via Skype to get a 
first-hand account of events unfolding in Egypt.

Mark LeVine:

Why did it take a revolution in Tunisia to get 
Egyptians onto the streets in unprecedented numbers?

Hossam el-Hamalawy:

In Egypt we say that Tunis was more or less a 
catalyst, not an instigator, because the 
objective conditions for an uprising existed in 
Egypt, and revolt has been in the air over the 
past few years. Indeed, we already managed to 
have 2 mini-intifadas or "mini Tunisias" in 2008. 
The first was the April 2008 uprising in Mahalla, 
followed by another one in Borollos, in the north of the country.

Revolutions don't happen out of the blue. It's 
not because of Tunisia yesterday that we have one 
in Egypt mechanically the next day. You can't 
isolate these protests from the last four years 
of labour strikes in Egypt, or from international 
events such as the al-Aqsa intifada and the US 
invasion of Iraq. The outbreak of the al-Aqsa 
intifada was especially important because in the 
1980s-90s, street activism had been effectively 
shut down by the government as part of the fight 
against Islamist insurgents. It only continued to 
exist inside university campuses or party 
headquarters. But when the 2000 intifada erupted 
and Al Jazeera started airing images of it, it 
inspired our youth to take to the streets, in the 
same way we've been inspired by Tunisia today.

Mark LeVine:

How are the protests evolving?

Hossam el-Hamalawy:

It's too early to say how they will go. It's a 
miracle how they continued past midnight 
yesterday in the face of fear and repression. But 
having said that, the situation has reached a 
level that everyone is fed up, seriously fed up. 
And even if security forces manage to put down 
protests today they will fail to put down the 
ones that happen next week, or next month or 
later this year. There is definitely a change in 
the level of courage of the people. The state was 
helped by the excuse of fighting terrorism in 
1990s in order to fight all sorts of dissent in 
the country, which is a trick all governments 
use, including the US. But once formal opposition 
to a regime turns from guns to mass protests, 
it's very difficult to confront such dissent. You 
can plan to take out a group of terrorists 
fighting in the sugar cane fields, but what are 
you going to do with thousands of protesters on 
the streets? You can't kill them all. You can't 
even guarantee that troops will do it, will fire on the poor.

Mark LeVine:

What is the relationship between regional and local events here?

Hossam el-Hamalawy:

You have to understand that the regional is local 
here. In 2000 the protests didn't started as 
anti-regime protests but rather against Israel 
and in support of Palestinians. The same occurred 
with the US invasion of Iraq three years later. 
But once you take to the streets and are 
confronted by regime violence you start asking 
questions: Why is Mubarak sending troops to 
confront protesters instead of confronting 
Israel? Why is he exporting cement to be used by 
Israel to build settlements instead of helping 
Palestinians? Why are police so brutal with us 
when we're just trying to express our solidarity 
with Palestinians in a peaceful manner? And so 
regional issues like Israel and Iraq were shifted 
to local issues. And within moments, the same 
protesters who chanted pro-Palestinian slogans 
started chanting against Mubarak. The specific 
internal turning point in terms of protests was 
2004, when dissent turned domestic.

Mark LeVine:

In Tunisia the labour unions played a crucial 
role in the revolution, as their large and 
disciplined membership ensured that protests 
could not be easily quashed and gave an 
organisational edge. What's the role of the 
labour movement in Egypt in the current uprising?

Hossam el-Hamalawy:

The Egyptian labour movement was quite under 
attack in the 1980s and 1990s by police, who used 
live ammunition against peaceful strikers in 1989 
during strikes in the steel mills and in 1994 in 
the textile mill strikes. But steadily since 
December 2006 our country has been witnessing the 
biggest and most sustained waves of strike 
actions since 1946, triggered by textile strikes 
in the Nile Delta town of Mahalla, home of 
largest labour force in the Middle East with over 
28,000 workers. It started because of labour 
issues but spread to every sector in society except the police and military.

As a result of these strikes we've managed to get 
2 independent unions, the first of their kind 
since 1957 property tax collectors, including 
more than 40,000 civil servants, and then health 
technicians, more than 30,000 of whom launched a 
union just last month outside of the state controlled unions.

But it's true that one major distinction between 
us and Tunisia is that although it was a 
dictatorship, Tunisia had a semi-independent 
trade union federation. Even if the leadership 
was collaborating with the regime, the rank and 
file were militant trade unionists. So when time 
came for general strikes, the unions could pull 
it together. But here in Egypt we have a vacuum 
that we hope to fill soon. Independent trade 
unionists have already been subjected to witch 
hunts since they tried to be established; there 
are already lawsuits filed against them by state 
and state-backed unions, but they are getting 
stronger despite the continued attempts to silence them.

Of course, in the last few days the crackdown has 
been directed against street protesters, who 
aren't necessarily trade unionists. These 
protests have gathered a wide spectrum of 
Egyptians, including sons and daughters of the 
elite. So we have a combination of urban poor and 
youth together with the middle class and the sons and daughters of elite.

I think Mubarak has managed to alienate all 
sectors of society except his close circle of
cronies.

Mark LeVine:

The Tunisian revolution has been described as 
very much a "youth"-led revolt and dependent on 
social media technologies like Facebook and 
Twitter for its success. And now people are 
focusing on youth in Egypt as a major catalyst 
event. Is this a "youth intifada" and could it 
happen without Facebook and other new media technologies?

Hossam el-Hamalawy:

Yes, it's youth intifada on the ground. The 
internet plays only a role in spreading the word 
and the images about what goes on the ground. We 
do not use the internet to organise. We use the 
internet to publicise what we are doing on the 
ground hoping to inspire others into action.

Mark LeVine:

As you might have heard, in the US, the right 
wing talk show host Glenn Beck has gone after an 
elderly academic, Frances Fox Piven, because of 
an article she wrote calling on the unemployed to 
stage mass protests for jobs. She's even gotten 
death threats, some from unemployed people who 
seem happier fantasising about shooting her with 
one of their many guns than actually fighting for 
their rights. It's amazing to think about the 
crucial role of trade unions in the Arab world 
today considering more than two decades of 
neoliberal regimes across the region whose 
primary goal has been to destroy working class 
solidarity. Why have unions remained so important?

Hossam el-Hamalawy:

Unions have always been proven to be the silver 
bullet for any dictatorship. Look at Poland, 
South Korea, Latin America and Tunisia. Unions 
were always instrumental in mass mobilisation. 
You want a general strike to overthrow a 
dictatorship, and there is nothing better than an independent union to do so.

Mark LeVine:

Is there a larger ideological program behind the 
protests, or just get rid of Mubarak?

Hossam el-Hamalawy:

Everyone has his or her reasons to take to the 
streets, but I would assume that if our uprising 
became successful and he's overthrown you'll 
start getting divisions. The poor will want to 
push the revolution to a much more radical 
position, to push the radical redistribution of 
wealth and to fight corruption, whereas the 
so-called reformers who want to put breaks and 
more or less lobby for change in top and curb 
powers of state a little bit but keep some 
essence of the state. But we're not there yet.

Mark LeVine:

What is the role of the Muslim Brotherhood and 
how will its remaining aloof from the current protests impact the situation?

Hossam el-Hamalawy:

The Brotherhood has been suffering from divisions 
since the outbreak of the al-Aqsa intifada. Its 
involvement in the Palestinian Solidarity 
Movement when it came to confronting the regime 
was abysmal. Basically, whenever their leadership 
makes a compromise with the regime, especially 
the most recent leadership of the current supreme 
guide, it has demoralised its base cadres. I know 
personally many young brothers who left the 
group, some of them have joined other groups or 
remained independent. As the current street 
movement grows and the lower leadership gets 
involved, there will be more divisions because 
the higher leadership can't justify why they're not part of the new uprising.

Mark LeVine:

What about the role of the US in this conflict. 
How do people on the street view its positions?

Hossam el-Hamalawy:

Mubarak is the second largest recipient of US 
foreign aid aside from Israel. He's known to be 
America's thug in the region; one of the tools of 
American foreign policy and implementing its 
agenda of security for Israel and the smooth flow 
of oil while keeping Palestinians in line. So 
it's no secret that this dictatorship has enjoyed 
the backing of US administrations since day one, 
even during Bush's phony pro-democracy rhetoric. 
So one should not be surprised by Clinton's 
ludicrous statements that were more or less 
defending the Mubarak regime, since one of the 
pillars of US foreign policy was to keep regimes 
stable at expense of freedom and civil liberties.

We don't expect anything from Obama, whom we 
regard as a great hypocrite. But we hope and 
expect the American people - trade unions, 
professors' associations, student unions, 
activist groups, to come out in support of us. 
What we want for the US government is to 
completely get out of the picture. We don't want 
any sort of backing; just cut aid to Mubarak 
immediately and withdraw backing from him, 
withdraw from all Middle Eastern bases, and stop 
supporting the state of Israel.

Ultimately, Mubarak will do whatever he has to do 
to protect himself. He will suddenly adopt the 
most anti-US rhetoric if he thought that would 
help him save his skin. At the end of the day 
he's committed to his own interests, and if he 
thinks the US won't support him, he'll turn 
somewhere else. The reality is that any really 
clean government that comes to power in the 
region will come into open conflict with the US 
because it will call for radical redistribution 
of wealth and ending support for Israel or other 
dictatorships. So we don't expect any help from 
America, just to leave us alone.



Mark LeVine is a professor of history at UC 
Irvine and senior visiting researcher at the 
Centre for Middle Eastern Studies at Lund 
University in Sweden. His most recent books are 
Heavy Metal Islam (Random House) and Impossible 
Peace: Israel/Palestine Since 1989 (Zed Books).

The views expressed in this article are the 
author's own and do not necessarily reflect Al Jazeera's editorial policy.




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