[News] Foiling Another Palestinian "Peace Offensive"
Anti-Imperialist News
news at freedomarchives.org
Wed Jan 28 11:59:14 EST 2009
January 28, 2009
Behind the Bloodbath in Gaza
Foiling Another Palestinian "Peace Offensive"
By NORMAN FINKELSTEIN
Early speculation on the motive behind Israels
slaughter in Gaza that began on 27 December 2008
and continued till 18 January 2009 centered on
the upcoming elections in Israel. The jockeying
for votes was no doubt a factor in this
Sparta-like society consumed by revenge and the
thirst for blood, where killing Arabs is a sure
crowd-pleaser. (Polls during the war showed that
80-90 percent of Israeli Jews supported
it.) But as Israeli journalist Gideon Levy
pointed out on Democracy Now!, Israel went
through a very similar war
two-and-a-half years
ago [in Lebanon], when there were no
elections. When crucial state interests are at
stake, Israeli ruling elites seldom launch major
operations for narrowly electoral gains. It is
true that Prime Minister Menachem Begins
decision to bomb the Iraqi OSIRAK reactor in 1981
was an electoral ploy, but the strategic stakes
in the strike on Iraq were puny; contrary to
widespread belief, Saddam Hussein had not
embarked on a nuclear weapons program prior to
the bombing. The fundamental motives behind the
latest Israeli attack on Gaza lie elsewhere: (1)
in the need to restore Israels deterrence
capacity, and (2) in the threat posed by a new
Palestinian peace offensive.
Israels larger concern in the current
offensive, New York Times Middle East
correspondent Ethan Bronner reported, quoting
Israeli sources, was to re-establish Israeli
deterrence, because its enemies are less afraid
of it than they once were, or should
be. Preserving its deterrence capacity has
always loomed large in Israeli strategic
doctrine. Indeed, it was the main impetus behind
Israels first-strike against Egypt in June 1967
that resulted in Israels occupation of Gaza (and
the West Bank). To justify the onslaught on
Gaza, Israeli historian Benny Morris wrote that
[m]any Israelis feel that the walls
are closing
in
much as they felt in early June
1967. Ordinary Israelis no doubt felt
threatened in June 1967, butas Morris surely
knowsthe Israeli leadership experienced no such
trepidation. After Israel threatened and laid
plans to attack Syria, Egyptian President Gamal
Abdel Nasser declared the Straits of Tiran closed
to Israeli shipping, but Israel made almost no
use of the Straits (apart from the passage of
oil, of which Israel then had ample stocks) and,
anyhow, Nasser did not in practice enforce the
blockade, vessels passing freely through the
Straits within days of his announcement. In
addition, multiple U.S. intelligence agencies had
concluded that the Egyptians did not intend to
attack Israel and that, in the improbable case
that they did, alone or in concert with other
Arab countries, Israel wouldin President Lyndon
Johnsons wordswhip the hell out of them. The
head of the Mossad told senior American officials
on 1 June 1967 that there were no differences
between the U.S. and the Israelis on the military
intelligence picture or its
interpretation. The predicament for Israel was
rather the growing perception in the Arab world,
spurred by Nassers radical nationalism and
climaxing in his defiant gestures in May 1967,
that it would no longer have to follow Israeli
orders. Thus, Divisional Commander Ariel Sharon
admonished those in the Israeli cabinet hesitant
to launch a first-strike that Israel was losing
its deterrence capability
our main weaponthe
fear of us. Israel unleashed the June 1967 war
to restore the credibility of Israeli
deterrence (Israeli strategic analyst Zeev Maoz).
The expulsion of the Israeli occupying army by
Hezbollah in May 2000 posed a major new challenge
to Israels deterrence capacity. The fact that
Israel suffered a humiliating defeat, one
celebrated throughout the Arab world, made
another war well-nigh inevitable. Israel almost
immediately began planning for the next round,
and in summer 2006 found a pretext when Hezbollah
captured two Israeli soldiers (several others
were killed in the firefight) and demanded in
exchange the release of Lebanese prisoners held
by Israel. Although Israel unleashed the fury of
its air force and geared up for a ground
invasion, it suffered yet another ignominious
defeat. A respected American military analyst
despite being partial to Israel nonetheless
concluded, the IAF, the arm of the Israel
military that had once destroyed whole air forces
in a few days, not only proved unable to stop
Hezbollah rocket strikes but even to do enough
damage to prevent Hezbollahs rapid recovery;
that once ground forces did cross into Lebanon
,
they failed to overtake Hezbollah strongholds,
even those close to the border; that in terms
of Israels objectives, the kidnapped Israeli
soldiers were neither rescued nor released;
Hezbollahs rocket fire was never
suppressed, not even its long-range fire
; and
Israeli ground forces were badly shaken and
bogged down by a well-equipped and capable foe;
and that more troops and a massive ground
invasion would indeed have produced a different
outcome, but the notion that somehow that effort
would have resulted in a more decisive victory
over Hezbollah
has no basis in historical example
or logic. The juxtaposition of several figures
further highlights the magnitude of the setback:
Israel deployed 30,000 troops as against 2,000
regular Hezbollah fighters and 4,000 irregular
Hezbollah and non-Hezbollah fighters; Israel
delivered and fired 162,000 weapons whereas
Hezbollah fired 5,000 weapons (4,000 rockets and
projectiles at Israel and 1,000 antitank missiles
inside Lebanon). Moreover, the vast majority
of the fighters who defended villages such as
Ayta ash Shab, Bint Jbeil, and Maroun al-Ras were
not, in fact, regular Hezbollah fighters and in
some cases were not even members of Hezbollah,
and many of Hezbollahs best and most skilled
fighters never saw action, lying in wait along
the Litani River with the expectation that the
IDF assault would be much deeper and arrive much
faster than it did. Yet another indication of
Israels reversal of fortune was that, unlike any
of its previous armed conflicts, in the final
stages of the 2006 war it fought not in defiance
of a U.N. ceasefire resolution but in the hope of
a U.N. resolution to rescue it.
After the 2006 Lebanon war Israel was itching to
take on Hezbollah again, but did not yet have a
military option against it. In mid-2008 Israel
desperately sought to conscript the U.S. for an
attack on Iran, which would also decapitate
Hezbollah, and thereby humble the main
challengers to its regional hegemony. Israel and
its quasi-official emissaries such as Benny
Morris threatened that if the U.S. did not go
along then non-conventional weaponry will have
to be used, and many innocent Iranians will
die. To Israels chagrin and humiliation, the
attack never materialized and Iran has gone its
merry way, while the credibility of Israels
capacity to terrorize slipped another notch. It
was high time to find a defenseless target to
annihilate. Enter Gaza, Israels favorite
shooting gallery. Even there the feebly armed
Islamic movement Hamas had defiantly resisted
Israeli diktat, in June 2008 even compelling Israel to agree to a ceasefire.
During the 2006 Lebanon war Israel flattened the
southern suburb of Beirut known as the Dahiya,
where Hezbollah commanded much popular
support. In the wars aftermath Israeli military
officers began referring to the Dahiya
strategy: We shall pulverize the 160 Shiite
villages [in Lebanon] that have turned into
Shiite army bases, the IDF Northern Command
Chief explained, and we shall not show mercy
when it comes to hitting the national
infrastructure of a state that, in practice, is
controlled by Hezbollah. In the event of
hostilities, a reserve Colonel at the Israeli
Institute for National Security Studies chimed
in, Israel needs to act immediately, decisively,
and with force that is disproportionate
.Such a
response aims at inflicting damage and meting out
punishment to an extent that will demand long and
expensive reconstruction processes. The new
strategy was to be used against all of Israels
regional adversaries who had waxed defiantthe
Palestinians in Gaza are all Khaled Mashaal, the
Lebanese are all Nasrallah, and the Iranians are
all Ahmadinejadbut Gaza was the prime target
for this blitzkrieg-cum-bloodbath strategy. Too
bad it did not take hold immediately after the
disengagement from Gaza and the first rocket
barrages, a respected Israeli columnist
lamented. Had we immediately adopted the Dahiya
strategy, we would have likely spared ourselves
much trouble. After a Palestinian rocket
attack, Israels Interior Minister urged in late
September 2008, the IDF should
decide on a
neighborhood in Gaza and level it. And,
insofar as the Dahiya strategy could not be
inflicted just yet on Lebanon and Iran, it was
predictably pre-tested in Gaza.
The operative plan for the Gaza bloodbath can be
gleaned from authoritative statements after the
war got underway: What we have to do is act
systematically with the aim of punishing all the
organizations that are firing the rockets and
mortars, as well as the civilians who are
enabling them to fire and hide (reserve
Major-General); After this operation there will
not be one Hamas building left standing in Gaza
(Deputy IDF Chief of Staff); Anything affiliated
with Hamas is a legitimate target (IDF
Spokespersons Office). Whereas Israel killed a
mere 55 Lebanese during the first two days of the
2006 war, the Israeli media exulted at Israels
shock and awe (Maariv) as it killed more than
300 Palestinians in the first two days of the
attack on Gaza. Several days into the slaughter
an informed Israeli strategic analyst observed,
The IDF, which planned to attack buildings and
sites populated by hundreds of people, did not
warn them in advance to leave, but intended to
kill a great many of them, and
succeeded. Morris could barely contain his
pride at Israels highly efficient air assault
on Hamas. The Israeli columnist B. Michael was
less impressed by the dispatch of helicopter
gunships and jet planes over a giant prison and
firing at its people for example, 70
traffic
cops at their graduation ceremony, young men in
desperate search of a livelihood who thought
theyd found it in the police and instead found death from the skies.
As Israel targeted schools, mosques, hospitals,
ambulances, and U.N. sanctuaries, as it
slaughtered and incinerated Gazas defenseless
civilian population (one-third of the 1,200
reported casualties were children), Israeli
commentators gloated that Gaza is to Lebanon as
the second sitting for an exam is to the firsta
second chance to get it right, and that this
time around Israel had hurled [Gaza] back, not
20 years as it promised to do in Lebanon, but
into the 1940s. Electricity is available only
for a few hours a day; that Israel regained its
deterrence capabilities because the war in Gaza
has compensated for the shortcomings of the
[2006] Second Lebanon War; and that There is no
doubt that Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah is
upset these days
.There will no longer be anyone
in the Arab world who can claim that Israel is weak.
New York Times foreign affairs expert Thomas
Friedman joined in the chorus of
hallelujahs. Israel in fact won the 2006
Lebanon war, according to Friedman, because it
had inflicted substantial property damage and
collateral casualties on Lebanon at large,
thereby administering an education to
Hezbollah: fearing the Lebanese peoples wrath,
Hezbollah would think three times next time
before defying Israel. He expressed hope that
Israel was likewise trying to educate Hamas by
inflicting a heavy death toll on Hamas militants
and heavy pain on the Gaza population. To
justify the targeting of Lebanese civilians and
civilian infrastructure Friedman asserted that
Israel had no other option because Hezbollah
created a very flat military network
deeply
embedded in the local towns and villages, and
that because Hezbollah nested among civilians,
the only long-term source of deterrence was to
exact enough pain on the civilians
to restrain Hezbollah in the future.
Leaving aside Friedmans hollow coinageswhat
does flat mean?and leaving aside that he
alleged that the killing of civilians was
unavoidable but also recommends targeting
civilians as a deterrence strategy: is it even
true that Hezbollah was embedded in, nested
among, and intertwined with the Lebanese civilian population?
Heres what Human Rights Watch concluded after an
exhaustive investigation: we found strong
evidence that Hezbollah stored most of its
rockets in bunkers and weapon storage facilities
located in uninhabited fields and valleys, that
in the vast majority of cases Hezbollah fighters
left populated civilian areas as soon as the
fighting started, and that Hezbollah fired the
vast majority of its rockets from pre-prepared
positions outside villages. And again, in all
but a few of the cases of civilian deaths we
investigated, Hezbollah fighters had not mixed
with the civilian population or taken other
actions to contribute to the targeting of a
particular home or vehicle by Israeli
forces. Indeed, Israels own firing patterns
in Lebanon support the conclusion that Hezbollah
fired large numbers of its rockets from tobacco
fields, banana, olive and citrus groves, and more
remote, unpopulated valleys.
A U.S. Army War College study based largely on
interviews with Israeli participants in the
Lebanon war similarly found that the key
battlefields in the land campaign south of the
Litani River were mostly devoid of civilians, and
IDF participants consistently report little or no
meaningful intermingling of Hezbollah fighters
and noncombatants. Nor is there any systematic
reporting of Hezbollah using civilians in the
combat zone as shields. On a related note, the
authors report that the great majority of
Hezbollahs fighters wore uniforms. In fact,
their equipment and clothing were remarkably
similar to many state militariesdesert or green
fatigues, helmets, web vests, body armor, dog tags, and rank insignia.
Friedman further asserted that, rather than
confronting Israels Army head-on, Hezbollah
fired rockets at Israels civilian population to
provoke Israeli retaliatory strikes, inevitably
killing Lebanese civilians and inflaming the
Arab-Muslim street. Yet, numerous studies have
shown, and Israeli officials themselves conceded
that, during its guerrilla war against the
Israeli occupying army, Hezbollah only targeted
Israeli civilians after Israel targeted Lebanese
civilians. In conformity with past practice
Hezbollah started firing rockets toward Israeli
civilian concentrations during the 2006 war only
after Israel inflicted heavy casualties on
Lebanese civilians, while Hezbollah leader Sayyed
Hassan Nasrallah avowed that it would target
Israeli civilians as long as the enemy
undertakes its aggression without limits or red lines.
If Israel targeted the Lebanese civilian
population and infrastructure during the 2006
war, it was not because it had no choice, and not
because Hezbollah had provoked it, but because
terrorizing the civilian population was a
relatively cost-free method of education, much
to be preferred over fighting a real foe and
suffering heavy casualties, although Hezbollahs
unexpectedly fierce resistance prevented Israel
from achieving a victory on the battlefield. In
the case of Gaza it was able both to educate
the population and achieve a military victory
becausein the words of Gideon Levythe fighting in Gaza was
war deluxe. Compared with previous wars, it is
childs playpilots bombing unimpeded as if on
practice runs, tank and artillery soldiers
shelling houses and civilians from their armored
vehicles, combat engineering troops destroying
entire streets in their ominous protected
vehicles without facing serious opposition. A
large, broad army is fighting against a helpless
population and a weak, ragged organization that
has fled the conflict zones and is barely putting up a fight.
The justification put forth by Friedman in the
pages of the Times for targeting civilians and
civilian infrastructure amounted to apologetics
for state terrorism. It might be recalled that
although Hitler had stripped Nazi propagandist
Julius Streicher of all his political power by
1940, and his newspaper Der St?rmer had a
circulation of only some 15,000 during the war,
the International Tribunal at Nuremberg
nonetheless sentenced him to death for his murderous incitement.
Beyond restoring its deterrence capacity,
Israels main goal in the Gaza slaughter was to
fend off the latest threat posed by Palestinian
moderation. For the past three decades the
international community has consistently
supported a settlement of the Israel-Palestine
conflict that calls for two states based on a
full Israeli withdrawal to its June 1967 border,
and a just resolution of the refugee question
based on the right of return and
compensation. The vote on the annual U.N.
General Assembly resolution, Peaceful Settlement
of the Question of Palestine, supporting these
terms for resolving the conflict in 2008 was 164
in favor, 7 against (Israel, United States,
Australia, Marshall Islands, Micronesia, Nauru,
Palau), and 3 abstentions. At the regional level
the Arab League in March 2002 unanimously put
forth a peace initiative on this basis, which it
has subsequently reaffirmed. In recent times
Hamas has repeatedly signaled its own acceptance
of such a settlement. For example, in March 2008
Khalid Mishal, head of Hamass Political Bureau, stated in an interview:
There is an opportunity to deal with this
conflict in a manner different than Israel and,
behind it, the U.S. is dealing with it
today. There is an opportunity to achieve a
Palestinian national consensus on a political
program based on the 1967 borders, and this is an
exceptional circumstance, in which most
Palestinian forces, including Hamas, accept a
state on the 1967 borders
.There is also an Arab
consensus on this demand, and this is a historic
situation. But no one is taking advantage of
this opportunity. No one is moving to cooperate
with this opportunity. Even this minimum that
has been accepted by the Palestinians and the
Arabs has been rejected by Israel and by the U.S.
Israel is fully cognizant that the Hamas Charter
is not an insurmountable obstacle to a two-state
settlement on the June 1967 border. [T]he Hamas
leadership has recognized that its ideological
goal is not attainable and will not be in the
foreseeable future, a former Mossad head
recently observed. [T]hey are ready and willing
to see the establishment of a Palestinian state
in the temporary borders of 1967
.They know that
the moment a Palestinian state is established
with their cooperation, they will be obligated to
change the rules of the game: They will have to
adopt a path that could lead them far from their
original ideological goals.
In addition, Hamas was careful to maintain the
ceasefire it entered into with Israel in June
2008, according to an official Israeli
publication, despite Israels reneging on the
crucial component of the truce that it ease the
economic siege of Gaza. The lull was
sporadically violated by rocket and mortar shell
fire, carried out by rogue terrorist
organizations, the source continues. At the
same time, the [Hamas] movement tried to enforce
the terms of the arrangement on the other
terrorist organizations and to prevent them from
violating it. Moreover, Hamas was interested
in renewing the relative calm with Israel (Shin Bet head Yuval Diskin).
The Islamic movement could thus be trusted to
stand by its word, making it a credible
negotiating partner, while its apparent ability
to extract concessions from Israel, unlike the
hapless Palestinian Authority doing Israels
bidding but getting no returns, enhanced Hamass
stature among Palestinians. For Israel these
developments constituted a veritable
disaster. It could no longer justify shunning
Hamas, and it would be only a matter of time
before international pressure in particular from
the Europeans would be exerted on it to
negotiate. The prospect of an incoming U.S.
administration negotiating with Iran and Hamas,
and moving closer to the international consensus
for settling the Israel-Palestine conflict, which
some U.S. policymakers now advocate, would have
further highlighted Israels intransigence. In
an alternative scenario, speculated on by
Nasrallah, the incoming American administration
plans to convene an international peace
conference of Americans, Israelis, Europeans and
so-called Arab moderates to impose a
settlement. The one obstacle is Palestinian
resistance and the Hamas government in Gaza, and
getting rid of this stumbling block is
the true goal of the war.
In either case, Israel needed to provoke Hamas
into breaking the truce, and then radicalize or
destroy it, thereby eliminating it as a
legitimate negotiating partner. It is not the
first time Israel confronted such a diabolical
threatan Arab League peace initiative,
Palestinian support for a two-state settlement
and a Palestinian ceasefireand not the first
time it embarked on provocation and war to overcome it.
In the mid-1970s the PLO mainstream began
supporting a two-state settlement on the June
1967 border. In addition, the PLO, headquartered
in Lebanon, was strictly adhering to a truce with
Israel that had been negotiated in July
1981. In August 1981 Saudi Arabia unveiled, and
the Arab League subsequently approved, a peace
plan based on the two-state settlement. Israel
reacted in September 1981 by stepping up
preparations to destroy the PLO. In his
analysis of the buildup to the 1982 Lebanon war,
Israeli strategic analyst Avner Yaniv reported
that Yasser Arafat was contemplating a historic
compromise with the Zionist state, whereas all
Israeli cabinets since 1967 as well as leading
mainstream doves opposed a Palestinian
state. Fearing diplomatic pressures, Israel
maneuvered to sabotage the two-state
settlement. It conducted punitive military raids
deliberately out of proportion against
Palestinian and Lebanese civilians in order to
weaken PLO moderates, strengthen the hand of
Arafats radical rivals, and guarantee the
PLOs inflexibility. However, Israel
eventually had to choose between a pair of stark
options: a political move leading to a historic
compromise with the PLO, or preemptive military action against it.
To fend off Arafats peace offensiveYanivs
telling phraseIsrael embarked on military action
in June 1982. The Israeli invasion had been
preceded by more than a year of effective
ceasefire with the PLO, but after murderous
Israeli provocations, the last of which left as
many as 200 civilians dead (including 60
occupants of a Palestinian childrens hospital),
the PLO finally retaliated, causing a single
Israeli casualty. Although Israel used the
PLOs resumption of attacks as the pretext for
its invasion, Yaniv concluded that the raison
dêtre of the entire operation was destroying
the PLO as a political force capable of claiming
a Palestinian state on the West Bank. It
deserves passing notice that in his new history
of the peace process, Martin Indyk, former U.S.
ambassador to Israel, provides this capsule
summary of the sequence of events just narrated:
In 1982, Arafats terrorist activities
eventually provoked the Israeli government of
Menachem Begin and Ariel Sharon into a full-scale invasion of Lebanon.
Fast forward to 2008. Israeli Foreign Minister
Tzipi Livni stated in early December 2008 that
although Israel wanted to create a temporary
period of calm with Hamas, an extended truce
harms the Israeli strategic goal, empowers
Hamas, and gives the impression that Israel
recognizes the movement. Translation: a
protracted ceasefire that enhanced Hamass
credibility would have undermined Israels
strategic goal of retaining control of the West
Bank. As far back as March 2007 Israel had
decided on attacking Hamas, and only negotiated
the June truce because the Israeli army needed
time to prepare. Once all the pieces were in
place, Israel only lacked a pretext. On 4
November, while the American media were riveted
on election day, Israel broke the ceasefire by
killing seven Palestinian militants, on the
flimsy excuse that Hamas was digging a tunnel to
abduct Israeli soldiers, and knowing full well
that its operation would provoke Hamas into
hitting back. Last weeks ticking tunnel, dug
ostensibly to facilitate the abduction of Israeli
soldiers, Haaretz reported in mid-November
was not a clear and present danger: Its existence
was always known and its use could have been
prevented on the Israeli side, or at least the
soldiers stationed beside it removed from harms
way. It is impossible to claim that those who
decided to blow up the tunnel were simply being
thoughtless. The military establishment was
aware of the immediate implications of the
measure, as well as of the fact that the policy
of controlled entry into a narrow area of the
Strip leads to the same place: an end to the
lull. That is policynot a tactical decision by a commander on the ground.
After Hamas predictably resumed its rocket
attacks [i]n retaliation (Israeli Intelligence
and Terrorism Information Center), Israel could
embark on yet another murderous invasion in order
to foil yet another Palestinian peace offensive.
Norman Finkelstein is author of five books,
including
<http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/1859844421/counterpunchmaga>Image
and Reality of the Israel-Palestine
Conflict,<http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0520245989/counterpunchmaga>
Beyond Chutzpah and
<http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/185984488X/counterpunchmaga>The
Holocaust Industry, which have been translated
into more than 40 foreign editions. He is the son
of Holocaust survivors. This article is an edited
extract of the views of Finkelstein given at
<http://www.democracynow.org/>DemocracyNow.org.
His website is <http://www.normanfinkelstein.com/>www.NormanFinkelstein.com
Freedom Archives
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